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市场基本认可新季减产 苹果短期内震荡运行为主

Group 1 - The core viewpoint from Ruida Futures indicates that the apple market is expected to experience short-term fluctuations [1] - According to Fangzheng Zhongqi Futures, the apple price is anticipated to show a pattern of rising initially and then declining, with a focus on the new crop's performance [2] Group 2 - The new season's apple production in Shaanxi is projected to have a reduction of 5%-10% compared to last year, with the current cold storage inventory at 1.1649 million tons, down by 109,700 tons from the previous week [1] - The inventory levels in Shandong and Shaanxi are reported at 16.43% and 8.9% respectively, indicating a slower pace of sales compared to the previous week [1] - The market is currently facing increased competition from other fruits, leading to a slowdown in apple sales and putting pressure on prices, although low inventory levels provide some support [1] Group 3 - The market consensus acknowledges a reduction in the new season's apple production, which provides a bottom support for prices, while the extent of the reduction and changes in consumer demand may create upward pressure on prices [2] - The expected trading range for the apple futures contracts is estimated between 7,400-8,200 for the October contract and 7,300-8,200 for the January contract [2] - The lack of strong consumer demand and the impact of early-ripening apples and citrus fruits are noted as factors that could influence price fluctuations [2]