QILU BANK(SH:601665) Zheng Quan Shi Bao·2025-06-23 15:12Core Viewpoint - The banking sector is experiencing a strong performance, leading to an accelerated conversion of convertible bonds into stocks this year, with several banks triggering redemption clauses for their convertible bonds [2][7]. Group 1: Convertible Bond Redemption - Qilu Bank announced that its stock price has been above 130% of the current conversion price for 10 out of the last 15 trading days, which may trigger the redemption clause for its convertible bonds [4]. - If Qilu Bank's stock price remains above 6.50 CNY (130% of the adjusted conversion price of 5.00 CNY) for 5 more trading days, the bank has the right to redeem the bonds at face value plus accrued interest [4][5]. - This year, five convertible bonds from various banks have exited the market due to triggering redemption clauses, including those from Suhang Bank, Chengyin Bank, Hangyin Bank, and Nanyin Bank [8]. Group 2: Market Trends and Implications - The continuous rise in bank stock prices has led to a significant reduction in the outstanding balance of Qilu convertible bonds, which currently stands at 60.87 billion CNY, with an unconverted ratio of 76.09% [4]. - The trend of convertible bonds exiting the market is expected to continue, with only seven remaining if Qilu's bonds are redeemed [8]. - Approximately 100 billion CNY of bank convertible bonds are anticipated to complete conversion this year due to rising stock prices [8]. Group 3: Capital Supplementation and Market Dynamics - Convertible bonds serve as a crucial tool for banks to supplement their core Tier 1 capital, with a strong incentive for banks to convert bonds into stocks to enhance capital adequacy [2][11]. - The adjustment of conversion prices, such as Qilu Bank's reduction from 5.14 CNY to 5.00 CNY, increases the likelihood of triggering redemption clauses [9]. - The acceleration of bond conversions, combined with a slow pace of new bond approvals and issuances, may lead to irrational price increases for remaining high-quality convertible bonds in the market [11].