Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Insights - Bank stocks have outperformed the market, with the banking index rising by 1.70% while the CSI 300 index fell by 1.33%, indicating a shift in market sentiment towards underperforming sectors [1] - Quality city commercial banks have shown superior performance, with city commercial banks increasing by 3.27% compared to state-owned banks at 0.35% and joint-stock banks at 1.84% [1] - The banking sector is expected to enter a growth cycle in 2026, with projected revenue and net profit growth rates of 2.8% and 2.6% respectively, indicating a gradual recovery [3] - The opportunity cost of investing in bank stocks remains low, with a 10-year government bond yield at 1.80% and bank stock dividends around 4.4%, providing a 2.6 percentage point premium [3] - The report emphasizes the importance of new growth drivers, particularly recommending Nanjing Bank for its strong management and market position [3] Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The banking sector ranked sixth among 31 primary industries, with a weekly increase of 1.70% [1] - The performance of various bank types showed that city commercial banks had the highest weekly increase at 3.27% [1] Individual Bank Events - Qilu Bank reported a 5.1% year-on-year increase in revenue and a 14.6% increase in net profit, aligning with market expectations [2] - Ningbo Bank's executive appointment was approved, indicating stability in management [2] Investment Outlook - The report maintains a positive outlook for bank stocks in 2026, suggesting a rebalancing of market styles and a favorable environment for bank valuations [3] - Recommendations include major state-owned banks and a focus on mid-sized banks with new growth potential, particularly Nanjing Bank, Shanghai Bank, and others [4][6]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained at "Overweight" [2] Core Insights - The report anticipates new RMB loans in January to be between 5.1 to 5.25 trillion yuan, with a corresponding loan growth rate declining to approximately 6.3% [4][6] - The expected new social financing scale for January is projected to be between 7.41 to 7.57 trillion yuan, maintaining a stock growth rate of around 8.3% [21][25] - The report highlights a strong performance in corporate activities, with expectations for increased credit supply due to a favorable lending environment and government policies [8][28] Summary by Sections 1. RMB Loans - New RMB loans are expected to be between 5.1 to 5.25 trillion yuan, with a growth rate declining to around 6.3% [4][6] - The monthly increase is projected to vary between a decrease of 300 million to an increase of 1.2 billion yuan [8] 2. Social Financing - The anticipated new social financing scale for January is between 7.41 to 7.57 trillion yuan, with a stock growth rate around 8.3% [21][25] - The report notes that the net financing scale of local government bonds and corporate credit bonds is expected to be 1.181 trillion yuan and 490.3 billion yuan respectively [25] 3. Liquidity - M1 and M2 growth rates are expected to rise due to a low base effect, with M1 projected at 4.0% and M2 at 8.7% [26] - The report indicates that the increase in government and credit bonds' net financing will impact market liquidity [26] 4. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a shift in bank stock investment logic from "pro-cyclical" to "weak-cyclical," emphasizing the attractiveness of high-dividend bank stocks during economic stagnation [28] - Two main investment lines are recommended: regional banks with strong certainty and large banks with high dividends [28]

1月金融合规月报。当月，金融机构罚单数量同比大增，但罚没金额同比减少。金融机构共收到1438张罚单，同比大增54.13%，合计被罚没2.93亿元，同比 减少20.16%。 1、1月不同类型金融机构处罚情况 从不同监管机构处罚来看，1月金融监管总局开1253张罚单，同比增加83.19%，合计罚没金额2.19亿元，同比增幅15.87%，相比去年同期处罚力度有所上 升。 央行处罚力度则同比有所下降，1月开113张罚单，同比减少38.59%。证监会开64张罚单，同比增18.52%。 从不同类型金融机构处罚来看，银行收到830张罚单，同比增加41.88%，合计被罚没2.14亿元，同比减少25.95%。保险行业收到532张罚单，同比增加 84.08%，合计罚没金额则略减少。 券商1月收到12张罚单，期货公司收到9张罚单。私募罚单数量不少，收到44张罚单。 二、1月大额罚单 | 被罚对象 | 河及金额 | 处理机构 | 违规事项明 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | (万元) | | 细 | | 上海日赢股权投资基金有限公 | 1400.00 | 上海证监局 | 未按合同约 | | la | | ...

2026 年 02 月 06 日 公司研究 评级：买入(维持) 研究所： 证券分析师： 林加力 S0350524100005 linjl01@ghzq.com.cn 证券分析师： 徐凝碧 S0350524110001 xunb@ghzq.com.cn 《齐鲁银行（601665）2025 半年报点评：不良率 下降，净息差回升（买入）*城商行Ⅱ*林加力，徐 凝碧》——2025-09-01 《齐鲁银行（601665）2024 年业绩快报点评： 2024Q4 单季度业绩加速增长（买入）*城商行Ⅱ* 林加力，徐凝碧》——2025-02-15 国海证券研究所 请务必阅读正文后免责条款部分 [Table_Title] 净息差同比提升，规模同比增速较去年更高 ——齐鲁银行（601665）2025 年业绩快报点评 最近一年走势 事件: 2 月 5 日，齐鲁银行发布 2025 年业绩快报。 投资要点: | 表现 | 1M | 3M | 12M | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 齐鲁银行 | 3.5% | -3.3% | 7.4% | | 沪深 300 | -1.0% | 0.9% | 23.1% | | ...

利润增速保持强劲，资产质量连续七年优化 齐鲁银行(601665) 齐鲁银行 2025 年业绩快报点评 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 马婷婷(分析师) | 021-23185608 | matingting@gtht.com | S0880525100001 | | 陈惠琴(分析师) | 021-38676666 | chenhuiqin@gtht.com | S0880525100003 | [Table_Industry] 商业银行/金融 | [Table_Invest] 评级： | 增持 | | --- | --- | | [Table_Target] 目标价格(元): | 7.43 | | | | 齐鲁银行业务规模保持较快增长，同时主动加强负债成本管控，净息差同比改善， 资产质量持续向好，打开信用成本下行空间，利润增速快于同业。 投资要点： | [Table_Finance] 财务摘要（百万元） | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- ...

Core Insights - Insurance capital management is increasingly focused on deep research of individual stocks and industries, with significant interest in A-share listed companies as indicated by over 300 companies being researched since the beginning of 2026 [1][2] Group 1: Research Trends - A total of 96 insurance companies and 32 insurance asset management companies have participated in the research of A-share listed companies since the beginning of 2026 [2] - Key players such as Taiping Pension, Changjiang Pension, and China Life Pension have conducted over 30 research sessions each within a month [2] - Regional banks and sectors like electronic components, semiconductor materials, and devices are receiving heightened attention from insurance capital [2] Group 2: Investment Strategies - Insurance capital views company research as a crucial part of investment strategy, often focusing on high-quality stocks with long-term growth potential [3] - The demand for high dividend stocks is driven by the need for stable cash flow in a low-interest-rate environment, with banks being a primary focus for insurance capital [4] - Insurance capital is increasingly adopting a dividend strategy, favoring high dividend stocks to stabilize returns amid pressure on fixed-income yields [4] Group 3: Focus on New Productive Forces - Insurance capital is aligning with long-term investments in new productive forces, particularly in technology innovation and emerging strategic industries [5] - There is a focus on investing in sectors with real technological barriers and clear business models that can deliver performance [5] Group 4: Investment Paths - For mature technology leaders, insurance capital is likely to invest directly for excess returns, while for emerging tech sectors, indirect investments through ETFs or industry funds are preferred to manage risks [6] - The insurance capital sector is particularly interested in AI-driven technology and high-end manufacturing, with a strategy to invest in companies with clear business models and strong competitive advantages [6]

开年以来，机构调研上市银行的热情持续升温。 《国际金融报》记者梳理数据发现，截至2月5日，开年以来已有12家区域性银行接受了155家机构的调 研，累计接待量达327次。具体来看，2026年"开门红"信贷投放情况、对公信贷投向以及对息差的管理 和展望，成为调研机构普遍关注的重点。多家机构明确，将继续进行存款结构调整。 受访专家预计，2026年，银行"开门红"对公信贷投向预计仍以基建、制造业等领域为主。区域性银行净 息差存在进一步收窄的可能，但幅度预计较去年更加温和。 区域性银行迎密集调研 2月4日，张家港农商银行（下称"张家港行（002839）"）公开的一份投资者关系活动记录表显示，该行 于2月3日接受了来自南方基金的特定对象调研，就该行对公贷款的投向以及资本补充计划进行了交流。 记者注意到，不到一周的时间内，张家港行已经迎来了5家机构的调研。就在不久前的1月30日，中邮资 管、华泰证券等4家机构对张家港行进行了调研，并就信贷投放、负债端优化等问题展开讨论。 事实上，开年以来，机构调研银行的热度不减。 数据显示，截至2月5日，张家港行、苏州银行（002966）、齐鲁银行（601665）、沪农商行（601825） ...

利润增速保持强劲，资产质量连续七年优化 齐鲁银行(601665) 齐鲁银行 2025 年业绩快报点评 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 马婷婷(分析师) | 021-23185608 | matingting@gtht.com | S0880525100001 | | 陈惠琴(分析师) | 021-38676666 | chenhuiqin@gtht.com | S0880525100003 | 本报告导读： 齐鲁银行业务规模保持较快增长，同时主动加强负债成本管控，净息差同比改善， 资产质量持续向好，打开信用成本下行空间，利润增速快于同业。 投资要点： | [Table_Finance] 财务摘要（百万元） | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入 | 11,952 | 12,496 | 13,125 | 14,259 | 15,809 | | (+/-)% | 8.0% | 4. ...

"无论是配置盘还是交易盘，险资投资框架都是基于对个股和行业的深度研判。"一位保险资管人士日前 在接受中国证券报记者采访时表示。作为对个股和行业研判的重要环节，上市公司调研透露出险资一段 时间内的兴趣点。Wind数据显示，2026年开年以来，保险公司及保险资管公司合计调研A股上市公司逾 300家。从调研标的分布来看，部分区域性银行和新质生产力领域个股备受险资关注。 调研个股透露险资偏好 从调研机构看，截至2月5日，2026年以来有96家保险公司、32家保险资产管理公司参与调研A股上市公 司。保险公司中，太平养老、长江养老、国寿养老、人保养老在一个多月的时间里调研次数均超过30 次。保险资管公司中，泰康资产、华泰资产、新华资产、人保资产、国寿资产、大家资产调研次数居 前，也均达到30次以上。 从调研对象来看，部分区域性银行以及电子元件、电子设备和仪器、半导体材料与设备等领域关注度颇 高。 上海银行、南京银行、苏州银行、齐鲁银行、厦门银行等多家区域性银行，均位列险资调研行列，上海 银行被14家保险公司及保险资管公司调研，南京银行也得到10家保险公司及保险资管公司调研。息差变 化及管理举措、投资策略、资产质量、分红计 ...

2月5日，银行板块延续强势，个股集体上攻，厦门银行涨停封板，股价刷新2021年6月以来新高；重庆 银行涨近6%，上海银行涨超4%，南京银行、渝农商行涨超3%，杭州银行、齐鲁银行等10股涨超2%。 银行ETF（512800）及其联接基金（A类：240019；C类：006697）被动跟踪中证银行指数，成份股囊 括A股42家上市银行，是跟踪银行板块整体行情的高效投资工具。银行ETF（512800）最新规模超122亿 元，2025年以来日均成交额超8亿元，为A股10只银行业ETF中规模最大、流动性最佳！ 数据来源：沪深交易所等、Wind等。 机构观点来源：中信证券20260201《策略聚焦|脱虚向实，重视涨价线索的扩散》；国信证券20251231 《银行春季躁动布局策略：复盘与展望》； 主力资金迅速涌入，单日净流入55.02亿元，高居所有申万一级行业第二位。银行接替赛道连续走强是 否意味着市场风格迎来切换？ 近期已有机构做出相关提示。中信证券表示，本轮ETF集中赎回潮基本结束，权重股将迎来修复窗口。 大周期维度下的风格切换正在发生，资金从小盘股切换至大盘股，从题材风格切换至质量风格。* 此外，从日历效应的角度，历史上 ...