帮主郑重：6月24日A股走势分析及策略

Technical Analysis - The three major indices opened lower but closed higher, with the Shanghai Composite Index stabilizing above 3380 points and the ChiNext maintaining above 2000 points, indicating a cautious market sentiment [3] - Key support levels are identified at 3360 points for the Shanghai Composite Index and 2000 points for the ChiNext, with a trading volume of 1.12 trillion indicating potential challenges for upward movement [3] Policy Insights - The State Council has emphasized the need to "stabilize the market and confidence," aiming to attract long-term capital into the market, which is seen as a positive signal for investors [3] - The Lujiazui Forum is expected to unveil significant policies related to financial openness and reforms in the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, which could energize the brokerage and fintech sectors [3] Market Sentiment - The geopolitical situation in the Middle East remains volatile, with rising oil prices providing a safe haven for oil and gas stocks, although recent comments from Trump led to a nearly 10% drop in oil prices [3] - Technology stocks are gaining momentum, driven by events like Huawei's HarmonyOS developer conference and the establishment of the National Big Fund Phase III, attracting capital to semiconductor and AI computing sectors [4] Capital Flows - Foreign capital has shown signs of returning, with recent increases in positions in leading technology stocks, while domestic institutional investors are focusing on high-dividend bank stocks and bargain hunting in semiconductors and pharmaceuticals [5] - Leveraged funds are shifting towards oil and military sectors, indicating ongoing risk aversion in the market [5] External Market Influences - U.S. stock markets experienced gains, which positively impacted Chinese concept stocks, providing a slight boost to the A-share market [6] - Attention is drawn to upcoming speeches from Federal Reserve officials, as hawkish signals could lead to a withdrawal of foreign capital [6] Investment Strategy - A balanced approach is recommended, with 50% of the portfolio as a base, 30% allocated to policy-driven technology sectors (semiconductors, AI computing) and high-dividend stocks, and 20% reserved for undervalued consumer electronics and innovative pharmaceuticals [7] - Monitoring trading volume in the early market hours is crucial for making timely investment decisions [8] - Long-term strategies should focus on solid performance in TMT, new energy vehicles, and photovoltaic equipment, viewing market corrections as buying opportunities [9]