Gold Market - Gold prices dropped sharply as the market's risk aversion decreased following the announcement of a ceasefire between Iran and Israel, leading to increased selling pressure [1] - The ceasefire has reduced geopolitical risks in the Middle East, resulting in a significant decline in global inflation risks and a shift in investor preference towards higher-yielding assets like stocks [1] - Market sentiment has improved, and it is likely that funds will continue to flow out of gold, making it less attractive in the near term [1] - Technical analysis indicates a high probability of a large bearish candle on the daily chart, with potential short-term support at the long-term moving average [1] Oil Market - Oil prices reversed their upward trend due to the easing of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, which had previously threatened oil transportation [2] - The likelihood of Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz has dropped from over 50% to 4% as the conflict subsides, removing the rationale for rising oil prices [2] - Despite the reduction in geopolitical risks, the fundamental outlook for oil remains weak due to oversupply, and OPEC+ is expected to continue increasing production, limiting price rebounds [2] - Technical indicators suggest a high probability of a large bearish candle on the daily chart, with potential short-term resistance at $67.20 [2] Copper Market - Copper prices have shown signs of consolidation with small fluctuations, supported by long-term moving averages [3] - The 4-hour chart indicates a clear upward shift in price action, suggesting a potential for continued volatility around the support level of $4.80 [3] Nikkei 225 Index - The Nikkei 225 index is at a high price level with a bullish moving average arrangement, indicating a strong potential for continuation of the upward trend [4] - However, the index may face a pullback after failing to challenge previous highs, with short-term support around 38,130 [4]
百利好晚盘分析：中东趋于平静 黄金急转直下
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-06-24 10:27