【成品油】国际原油收盘大跌 汽柴行情承压下行

Core Viewpoint - Recent fluctuations in international crude oil prices are primarily driven by changes in the geopolitical situation in the Middle East, with significant volatility observed following U.S. military actions against Iranian nuclear facilities [1] Group 1: Price Movements - On June 23, oil prices surged to a high of $76.74 per barrel due to supply concerns, but subsequently fell over 7% as President Trump called for lower prices and investor sentiment shifted to a wait-and-see approach [1] - As of June 24, the average price of reference crude oil was $74.91 per barrel, with a change rate of 11.12%, indicating a potential domestic price increase of 520 yuan per ton for gasoline and diesel [1] Group 2: Domestic Market Dynamics - Domestic gasoline and diesel prices showed a cautious decline, with the 92 gasoline index at 8730 and the 0 diesel index at 7632, reflecting decreases of 26 and 17 respectively from the previous trading day [1] - The market is characterized by a mixed response, with some regions experiencing slight price increases while others maintain stable pricing amid expectations of future price adjustments [2] Group 3: Future Outlook - The market remains cautious as it observes the Middle East situation, with expectations that the current change rate may continue to narrow, and support from news sources is diminishing [4] - Despite potential downward trends in gasoline and diesel prices, the overall decline is expected to be limited due to basic market support, with gasoline demand anticipated to improve during the summer season, while diesel demand remains weak due to adverse weather conditions [4]