SIASUN(SZ:300024) Ge Long Hui·2025-06-25 06:33Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that Horizon Robotics is well-positioned to benefit from the growth potential of global smart driving, with projected global and Chinese smart vehicle sales reaching approximately 80 million and 30 million units by 2030, respectively, and high-level assisted driving and autonomous driving penetration rates approaching 100% [1] - Horizon Robotics holds over 40% market share in the Chinese OEM advanced driver assistance market as of 2024, indicating a strong leadership position [1] - The unique BPU (intelligent computing unit) architecture of Horizon Robotics is a key competitive advantage, enabling higher computing power density and intelligence at lower power consumption and cost [1] Group 2 - Horizon Robotics is expected to ship a cumulative total of 7.7 million units of its Journey series chips by the end of 2024, with projected shipments of 4.2 million, 4.5 million, and 5.5 million units for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [2] - The company anticipates revenue of 3.43 billion, 5.41 billion, and 7.46 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with a forecasted return to profitability in 2027 [2] - A "buy" rating is assigned to Horizon Robotics with a target price of 8.60 HKD, based on a 20x P/S valuation for 2026, using comparable companies such as Nvidia, ARM, Mobileye, and Black Sesame Intelligence [2]