金价跌至六月新低，多重因素驱动市场震荡

Group 1 - Recent decline in gold prices is attributed to multiple factors, including geopolitical easing and a stronger US dollar [1][2] - The announcement of a ceasefire agreement between Israel and Iran has significantly reduced conflict risks in the Middle East, leading to decreased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset [1] - The Federal Reserve's hawkish signals have pushed the dollar index above 99.6, further suppressing gold prices [2] Group 2 - Gold prices have experienced a technical sell-off after breaking key support levels, triggering stop-loss orders and exacerbating market volatility [4][5] - Spot gold has fallen to $3,315.94 per ounce, marking a 1.57% decline, while COMEX gold futures dropped 1.71% to $3,336.90 per ounce [6][7] - Domestic gold jewelry prices have also decreased, with brands like Chow Tai Fook and Lao Miao dropping to 987–998 yuan per gram, a total decline of 30–32 yuan over two days [8] Group 3 - Future trends indicate that gold prices may continue to face pressure in the short term, with institutions like Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan maintaining a long-term bullish outlook, predicting a potential rise to over $4,000 per ounce by 2026 [11] - Citibank anticipates short-term challenges, with gold prices possibly retreating to $2,500–$2,700 per ounce by 2026 due to weakened retail demand and delayed rate cuts [11] - Technical analysis suggests that if gold fails to hold above $3,300, it may drop to the $3,150–$3,200 range, while a breakthrough above $3,400 could signal a rebound [11] Group 4 - Investors are advised to avoid leveraged positions in the short term and focus on potential opportunities within the $3,200–$3,280 support range [10] - Long-term strategies include gradually accumulating gold through ETFs or bank-stored gold, with a recommended allocation of 5%–10% of household assets [12] - Consumers are encouraged to prioritize purchasing from wholesale markets or standardized gold bars to avoid high premiums, while those not in urgent need may wait for promotional events [14]