中东停火黄金单日暴跌46美元！避险退潮下的现货黄金机遇

Group 1 - International spot gold experienced a significant drop of $46.05, reaching $3322.93 per ounce, marking a decline of 1.37% and hitting a two-week low [1] - Spot silver also fell below the $36 mark, trading at $35.83 per ounce [1] - Domestic gold futures in China dropped by 1.10% to 772.22 yuan per gram, while major jewelry brands saw a decrease of 14 yuan to 998 yuan per gram, falling below the 1000 yuan threshold [1] Group 2 - The unexpected announcement of a ceasefire agreement between Israel and Iran led to a rapid withdrawal of funds from safe-haven assets, directly causing the drop in gold prices [2] - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's hawkish stance on interest rates reduced the probability of a rate cut in September to below 35%, resulting in a stronger dollar index and increased holding costs for gold, further contributing to the price decline [3] Group 3 - Despite short-term pressures, the underlying logic for international spot gold remains unchanged, with ongoing geopolitical risks and a potential spike in oil prices if the Strait of Hormuz is blocked, which could reignite demand for gold as a safe haven [4] - Global central bank gold reserves have risen to 22%, the highest level since 1965, with China increasing its holdings to 2300 tons over the past eight months, indicating a continued trend that may influence future gold prices [4] - The demand for silver is expected to remain robust, with projected photovoltaic silver consumption reaching 140 million ounces by 2025, a year-on-year increase of 12% [4]