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四大行再创新高 银行板块上半年上涨15.6%
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao·2025-06-25 10:44

Group 1 - The banking sector has become one of the best-performing industries in the first half of the year, with 18 bank stocks, including the four major banks, reaching historical highs and the sector's scale surpassing 15 trillion yuan, with the China Securities Banking Index rising by 15.6% [1][2] - On June 25, nine bank stocks, including Agricultural Bank of China and Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, reached new historical highs, with the sector's scale reaching 15.5 trillion yuan and an increase of 1.03% on that day [2] - All bank stocks have shown positive performance this year, with no declines, and 16 stocks have increased by over 20%, while 32 stocks have risen by over 10% [2] Group 2 - Analysts attribute the strong performance of the banking sector to macroeconomic factors and market trends, noting that the banking index has outperformed the CSI 300 index by 13.6 percentage points this year [3] - The current price-to-book (PB) ratio for the banking index is 0.68, indicating a favorable valuation for investors [3] - The banking sector is expected to see a gradual recovery in revenue and profit growth due to positive contributions from deposit repricing and a potential decline in bond market volatility [3] Group 3 - Recent regulatory changes, such as the China Securities Regulatory Commission's new guidelines for mutual fund performance assessments, are expected to lead to increased allocations to bank stocks by fund managers, as many have underweighted this sector in the past [4] - The active fund's allocation to banks is currently only 3.81%, while the banking sector's weight in the CSI 300 index is 13.67%, indicating a significant deviation that is likely to be corrected [4] - The core investment logic for the banking sector remains strong, driven by high dividend yields, underweighting by public funds, and supportive policies for net interest margins [4] Group 4 - The continuous dividend payouts from banks have significantly contributed to the sector's performance, with several banks announcing mid-term dividend plans for 2025 [5][6] - Nanjing Bank and Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank have both committed to increasing dividend frequencies and implementing mid-term dividends, reflecting a trend among banks to enhance shareholder returns [5][6] - Ping An Bank has also indicated the possibility of mid-term cash dividends as part of its shareholder return plan for 2024-2026 [7] Group 5 - Institutional investors are increasingly allocating funds to the banking sector, with a notable increase in the scale of passive funds and a steady rise in active fund holdings of bank stocks [8] - The new public fund regulations are expected to positively impact the banking sector, as insurers and other institutional investors seek stable return assets [8] - The combination of macro policies and micro data suggests a potential revaluation of bank net assets, which could drive the sector's valuation upward in 2025 [8]