Will New Drugs Enable BMY to Offset the Impact of Generic Competition?

Core Insights - Bristol Myers (BMY) is focusing on newer drugs like Opdualag, Reblozyl, and Breyanzi to stabilize its revenue as legacy drugs face generic competition [1][9] - The performance of new drugs is crucial for BMY's growth, with Reblozyl showing strong growth in treating myelodysplastic syndromes-associated anemia [2] - BMY's shares have declined 15% year to date, underperforming the industry, which has seen a decline of 3.4% [8] Revenue and Drug Performance - Legacy drugs such as Revlimid, Pomalyst, Sprycel, and Abraxane are negatively impacted by generic competition and changes in U.S. Medicare Part D [1][9] - Sales of Eliquis, a blood thinner, decreased by 4% in the first quarter due to the Medicare Part D redesign [1] - Opdivo, a leading immuno-oncology drug, has experienced revenue growth primarily driven by volume [3] New Drug Approvals and Market Expansion - BMY has received FDA approval for xanomeline and trospium chloride (Cobenfy), a new treatment for schizophrenia, which is expected to contribute significantly to revenue [3][4] - Reblozyl is anticipated to have a substantial impact on BMY's revenue in the coming decade due to its strong performance [2] Competitive Landscape - The immuno-oncology market is competitive, with Merck's Keytruda dominating and accounting for around 50% of Merck's pharmaceutical sales [5] - Pfizer is also a significant player in oncology, with a diverse product portfolio and recent licensing agreements to enhance its offerings [6][7] Valuation and Earnings Estimates - BMY is trading at a forward earnings multiple of 7.34x, below its historical average of 8.54x and the large-cap pharma industry's average of 14.79x [9][10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for BMY's earnings per share has decreased over the past 60 days, indicating a downward trend in earnings expectations [11]