2025年6月26日，国内黄金9995价格多少钱一克？

Core Viewpoint - The recent fluctuations in gold prices are significantly influenced by geopolitical tensions and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, with short-term bearish trends expected if stability is maintained in these areas [3][4]. Geopolitical Factors - On June 24, Trump announced a "full ceasefire" between Israel and Iran, leading to a decrease in tensions in the Middle East. This has caused funds to move away from safe-haven assets like gold towards riskier assets such as U.S. stocks and oil stocks. However, doubts remain about the stability of the ceasefire, providing some support for gold prices [3]. Federal Reserve Policy - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell did not comment on the possibility of a rate cut in July during a congressional hearing, indicating a need to observe the impact of tariffs on inflation. This has led to a cooling of expectations for a rate cut, which typically pressures gold prices in a high-interest-rate environment. A stronger dollar also increases the holding cost of gold, further suppressing international gold prices. However, if subsequent inflation data is poor, expectations for a rate cut may rise, benefiting gold [3]. Technical Analysis - The daily chart for gold shows that prices have broken below the upward trend channel established since May, indicating a bearish technical structure. Although gold prices have rebounded above $3,330, the previous support level of $3,368 - $3,370 has become a new resistance. If prices cannot recover this level, the potential for further upward movement is limited. A drop below $3,300 could accelerate testing of the $3,245 support area [3]. Price Outlook - In the short term, if geopolitical conditions stabilize and the Federal Reserve does not signal a clear rate cut, gold may maintain a bearish trend with strong resistance at $3,368 - $3,370 and support levels at $3,300 and $3,245. In the medium to long term, global economic uncertainty, potential geopolitical risks, and inflation expectations may still provide upward momentum for gold [4].