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帮主郑重:外围扰动下A股怎么走?6月26日策略来了!
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-06-26 01:11

Group 1 - Nvidia's market capitalization has surpassed $3.77 trillion, setting a new record, while Tesla's stock has dropped over 3% and Chinese concept stocks are generally weak, indicating volatility in foreign capital sentiment [1][3] - The Shanghai Composite Index saw a significant increase of 1.04%, closing above 3455 points with a trading volume of 1.6 trillion yuan, the largest in the past three months, suggesting strong domestic market activity [1][3] - Northbound capital has been net selling for three consecutive days, with a notable 1 billion yuan sell-off in Kweichow Moutai, reflecting foreign investors' hesitance in high-valuation sectors [3][4] Group 2 - Domestic institutions have actively invested, with a net inflow of 2.3 billion yuan, particularly in the media, electronics, and computer sectors, which attracted over 5 billion yuan, indicating a shift towards growth stocks [3][4] - The technical indicators for the Shanghai Composite Index show bullish signals, with a breakout above the 3430-point resistance level and a significant increase in MACD and KDJ indicators [3] - The financial sector, particularly brokerage stocks, experienced a collective surge, influenced by the recent approval of virtual asset trading licenses in Hong Kong [4] Group 3 - Recent policies have been favorable, with the central bank conducting a reverse repurchase operation of 203.5 billion yuan, ensuring market liquidity, and six departments issuing consumption stimulus policies benefiting sectors like home appliances and automobiles [4] - In the solid-state battery sector, significant orders from a subsidiary of Meilian New Materials have positively impacted leading companies like Xiangtan Electric and Nord [4] - The AI sector is witnessing a shift, as OpenAI halts API services to China, allowing domestic companies like Baidu and Alibaba to fill the gap, presenting opportunities for local replacements [4] Group 4 - The market's performance hinges on whether the financial sector can support a rally in technology stocks, with a focus on the strength of brokerage stocks and the return of capital to the semiconductor sector [5] - Key investment themes include financial innovation, technology growth in AI hardware and semiconductors, and beneficiaries of policy support in consumer electronics and military industries [5] - The A-share market is entering a bull market phase driven by both policy and liquidity, with a recommendation to maintain a position limit of 60% and not exceed 20% in individual stocks [5]