晨枫：欧洲好像醒了，又想要装睡

Core Points - The article discusses the shift in U.S. foreign policy under President Trump, indicating a long-term move away from Atlanticism and European alliances towards a focus on the Asia-Pacific region [1][2] - It highlights the challenges Europe faces in re-establishing its own defense capabilities amid a perceived abandonment by the U.S. and the need for increased military spending [4][7] - The article emphasizes the fragmentation of European military capabilities and the reliance on U.S. military technology, which complicates Europe's efforts to independently rearm [12][13] Group 1: U.S. Policy Shift - The U.S. is moving away from Europe, prioritizing the Asia-Pacific region and sacrificing Atlanticism as a result of strategic contraction [1][2] - This shift is not merely a temporary phenomenon tied to Trump's presidency but reflects a long-term trend that will persist regardless of which party is in power [1] Group 2: European Defense Challenges - Europe is attempting to bolster its own defense capabilities, with NATO countries aiming to increase defense spending from 2% to 3% of GDP and enhance military equipment by 30% over the next 5-10 years [7][10] - The European Union has proposed an €800 billion "rearmament plan," with €650 billion coming from member states and €150 billion from a new EU fund [10] Group 3: Military Capability Fragmentation - European NATO countries have a total military strength of around 1.5 million personnel, but much of this is non-combat support, leading to concerns about actual combat readiness [4][6] - The reliance on U.S. military equipment is increasing, with European NATO countries' arms imports rising by 105% from five years ago, 64% of which come from the U.S. [6][12] - European military industries are struggling to meet the demand for advanced military technology, particularly in areas like combat aircraft and naval systems, which are heavily reliant on U.S. technology [12][13]