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优必选(9880.HK):国产人形机器人领军者 持续推进商业化进程
SIASUNSIASUN(SZ:300024) Ge Long Hui·2025-06-26 02:21

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the technological layout and industrialization progress of UBTECH in the humanoid robot sector, indicating its potential for commercial success and an "Accumulate" investment rating [1]. Group 1: Company Overview - UBTECH is the first publicly listed company in China focusing on humanoid robots, with products targeting three main application scenarios: home, commercial, and industrial [1]. - The home scenario includes consumer-grade robots and educational robots, while commercial and industrial scenarios feature humanoid robots, smart logistics robots, and cleaning robots [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance - Revenue has grown from 740 million yuan in 2020 to an expected 1.295 billion yuan in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate of 15.0%, driven mainly by consumer-grade and smart logistics robots [2]. - The company’s net profit has worsened from a loss of 707 million yuan in 2020 to a projected loss of 1.234 billion yuan in 2023, with a net profit margin declining from -95.5% to -120.8% due to high R&D and market expansion costs [2]. - In 2024, the company aims to improve cost control, narrowing losses to 1.124 billion yuan [2]. Group 3: Technological Development - UBTECH has six humanoid robot models, with the Walker S series focused on industrial applications, addressing high-efficiency needs in sectors like automotive and 3C [2][3]. - The company has established partnerships with major automotive and logistics firms, receiving 500 orders for industrial humanoid robots, with a production target of approximately 1,000 units this year [3]. Group 4: Revenue Contributions - In 2024, revenue from consumer-grade robots, educational robots, and logistics robots is projected to be 477 million yuan, 363 million yuan, and 322 million yuan, respectively, making them the primary revenue sources [3]. - The company plans to enhance its consumer-grade robot offerings and expand offline channels to increase brand reach and repurchase rates [3]. Group 5: Future Projections - The company is expected to generate revenues of 1.891 billion yuan, 2.662 billion yuan, and 3.621 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 45%, 41%, and 36% respectively [4]. - Despite anticipated losses of 964 million yuan, 771 million yuan, and 442 million yuan during the same period, the company expects to benefit from economies of scale as revenue increases [4].