NNCC(SH:600435) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-06-26 05:13Core Viewpoint - The market outlook for the second half of 2025 suggests a potential upward trend for A-shares, driven by strong domestic economic resilience and low asset valuations, alongside expected foreign capital inflows [4][5]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of June 26, 2025, the CSI Small Cap 500 Index increased by 0.07%, with notable stocks like Guosheng Jinkong and Beifang Navigation hitting the 10% daily limit up [1]. - The CSI 500 ETF (159922) has achieved a four-day consecutive increase, with a weekly gain of 2.16% as of June 25, 2025 [1][4]. Group 2: Trading and Liquidity - The CSI 500 ETF recorded a trading volume of 83.47 million yuan during the session, with an average daily trading volume of 423 million yuan over the past year [4]. - The latest scale of the CSI 500 ETF reached 11.72 billion yuan, marking a three-month high, with a total of 4.963 billion shares outstanding [4]. Group 3: Fund Flows and Returns - The CSI 500 ETF has seen continuous net inflows over the past four days, with a peak single-day net inflow of 88.77 million yuan, totaling 190 million yuan [4]. - Over the past five years, the net value of the CSI 500 ETF has increased by 12.15%, with the highest monthly return recorded at 23.90% and the longest consecutive monthly gain lasting 13 months [4]. Group 4: Economic and Policy Outlook - The market is expected to benefit from a weaker dollar trend, supportive capital market policies, and an overall improvement in liquidity conditions in the second half of 2025 [4]. - Several brokerages anticipate that the domestic economy will maintain strong resilience, and the valuation of Chinese assets remains low, providing room for revaluation and foreign capital inflows [5]. Group 5: Key Stocks in the Index - As of May 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Small Cap 500 Index include Jianghuai Automobile, Guangqi Technology, and Shenghong Technology, collectively accounting for 6.59% of the index [5].