平安鑫惠90天持有期债券基金经理田元强：积极拥抱票息资产 偏多思维参与波段交易

Core Viewpoint - The investment strategy conference held by Ping An Fund highlighted the importance of embracing interest-bearing assets and participating in wave trading for the second half of 2025, while closely monitoring policy changes and economic data for effective risk management [1][2]. Economic Outlook - The economic fundamentals showed signs of recovery in the first half of 2025, but the internal momentum remains relatively weak. Real estate investment continues to drag, manufacturing investment is weak, and infrastructure investment, while gaining traction, is limited in strength. Consumer spending has rebounded with policy support, but overall growth still needs improvement [1]. - Exports are stable overall, but the growth rate is subject to significant fluctuations. Inflation indicators such as CPI and PPI are weak, reflecting insufficient total demand and low capacity utilization, resulting in limited inflationary pressure [1]. Monetary Policy and Market Environment - The central bank's goals have not yet adjusted, with maintaining growth and structural adjustments as primary objectives. Following the recent cuts in reserve requirements and interest rates, the cost of funds has effectively decreased, and weak credit may lead to continued monetary easing. Additionally, a reduction in deposit rates is anticipated to maintain bank interest margins [1][2]. - The bond market is currently in a favorable environment characterized by stable but weak fundamentals and a prudent monetary policy. The stability of the credit assets in the medium to short term can provide reliable interest income and arbitrage value [2]. Investment Strategy - Investors are encouraged to seize opportunities during market adjustments to accumulate interest income. The long-term assets, while stable, are unlikely to exceed expectations, and external demand pressures are expected to increase in the second half of the year due to export effects [2]. - Active participation in wave trading is recommended, as each market panic adjustment may present gaming value for investors [2].