持仓暴增90倍！外资借道ETF疯狂押注新台币

Group 1 - The Central Bank of Taiwan has requested foreign investors to withdraw speculative bets on the New Taiwan Dollar (TWD) through ETFs, indicating a crackdown on such activities [1] - The strategy employed by foreign investors involves buying both Taiwanese stock ETFs and inverse ETFs, which allows them to profit from market declines while betting on the appreciation of the TWD [1][2] - The holdings of foreign investors in Taiwan's largest inverse stock ETF have surged to 914.7 million shares, an increase of over 90 times since the beginning of the year [2] Group 2 - The TWD has appreciated by 12% against the US dollar this year, with a significant single-day increase recorded last month, the largest since 1980, posing risks to the export-oriented economy [2] - A regulatory framework exists to limit speculative behavior by foreign investors, requiring that their holdings in any single inverse ETF remain below 30% to prevent currency manipulation [5] - The Central Bank can influence onshore banks through "window guidance," but has limited direct control over offshore investors [5]