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京北方(002987):数字货币核心建设方 AI业务积极推进

Core Viewpoint - Jingbeifang is a leading financial technology service provider in China, expected to experience business growth beyond expectations due to the dual drivers of the accelerated implementation of the digital RMB national strategy and the deep integration of AI technology in the financial industry [1] Group 1: Over-Expectation Logic - Market expectations suggest that the advancement of digital currency is slow, and AI's application in the financial sector is also lagging, leading to a belief that these factors will not contribute to short-term performance [2] - The company believes that the pace of policy implementation is accelerating, with the digital currency rollout speeding up, as evidenced by the recent introduction of the stablecoin legislation in Hong Kong [2] - The company has established deep collaborations with banking clients and possesses full-stack service capabilities for digital currency, positioning it to benefit from the promotion of stablecoins [2] Group 2: Driving Factors - The rollout of stablecoins presents business opportunities, with the Hong Kong Legislative Council passing the "Stablecoin Ordinance" on May 21, 2025, indicating a shift in stablecoins from being mere connectors of crypto assets to becoming a new infrastructure for global financial payments [3] - Domestic large models are showing significant breakthroughs in cost and capability, leading to accelerated adoption in the banking sector, which directly benefits the company through private deployment and AI application demands [2][3] Group 3: AI Application and Product Launch - Domestic large models like Deepseek are rapidly being adopted in the financial sector due to their efficient performance, cost-effectiveness, and open-source nature, with banks prioritizing AI for various applications such as intelligent customer service and risk control [3] - The company has officially launched an AI large model service platform and four major products in 2024, catering to the private deployment and AI application needs of major state-owned and joint-stock commercial banks [3] Group 4: Performance Metrics and Catalysts - Key performance indicators include the implementation of stablecoin policy details, AI business orders, and the proportion of AI revenue [4] - Catalysts for growth include the implementation of stablecoin regulations, approval of licenses for tech giants, and the emergence of popular AI products [5] Group 5: Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company forecasts revenues of 5.147 billion, 5.685 billion, and 6.291 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 11.01%, 10.46%, and 10.67% respectively, and net profits of 363 million, 416 million, and 472 million yuan, with growth rates of 16.34%, 14.63%, and 13.54% [6] - The company is compared with peers in financial technology and banking IT, with a projected PE of 44 times for 2025, while the average PE of comparable companies is 67 times, indicating a potential target stock price of 28.11 yuan, representing an upside of 54.39% [6]