Group 1: Market Overview - Gold prices experienced fluctuations on June 26, with a peak around 3350 before declining to a low of 3310, closing at approximately 3336, indicating a small bearish candle with upper and lower shadows [2] - The geopolitical situation in the Middle East has eased, reducing gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset, while uncertainties remain due to the Trump administration's sanctions on Iran and conflicts with Israel [3] - The market anticipates the Federal Reserve to initiate rate cuts in September, with a probability exceeding 90% for two cuts totaling 50 basis points within the year [3] Group 2: Economic Indicators - The first quarter GDP of the U.S. was revised down to a contraction of 0.5%, with consumer spending growth adjusted to 0.5%, and initial jobless claims reaching the highest level since November 2021, indicating potential weaknesses in the labor market [3] - The U.S. dollar has fallen to its lowest levels against the euro and pound since 2021, influenced by rate cut expectations and rumors regarding a new Federal Reserve chair nomination [3] - U.S. Treasury yields have decreased, with the 10-year yield at 4.25% and the 30-year yield at 4.811% [3] Group 3: Technical Analysis - The daily chart indicates a bearish short-term trend for gold, with key support levels at 3295 and 3288; a break below these levels could lead to further declines [6] - The moving averages show a bearish signal, with the 5-day and 10-day moving averages forming a death cross and diverging downwards [6] - On the four-hour chart, if gold remains below the resistance at 3350 and breaks below 3295, it is likely in the first phase of a Y-wave adjustment, with further support levels at 3286 and 3247 [8]
黄金今日行情走势要点分析（2025.6.27）
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-06-27 00:58