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美联储最青睐通胀指标公布在即!5月核心PCE环比涨幅料保持温和
Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-06-27 06:20

Group 1 - The core PCE price index, a key inflation indicator favored by the Federal Reserve, is set to be released, with expectations for a month-over-month increase of 0.1% for both core and overall PCE indices, maintaining the same level as April [1] - Year-over-year, the core PCE price index is expected to rise to 2.6% in May, up from 2.5% in April, while the overall PCE index is projected to increase to 2.3%, compared to 2.1% in April [1] - The upcoming data will also provide insights into consumer spending and income growth, with personal spending expected to grow by 0.2% month-over-month and personal income by 0.3%, a slowdown from April's 0.8% [1] Group 2 - Citi analysts predict that used car prices will remain volatile in the coming months, with the Manheim used car price index rising by 1.7% in early June after a 1.4% decline in May [2] - The Manheim index, reflecting wholesale prices, may indicate an overall upward trend in car prices, as rising new car prices could drive consumers to the used car market [2] - Evercore ISI analysts noted that the core PCE deflator increased by 0.15% in May, with tariffs expected to impact prices in the future but not currently affecting them [2]