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21倍超额认购也无用?曹操出行上市破发,原因在哪儿?

Core Insights - Cao Cao Mobility officially listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on June 25, 2025, following the listings of Dida Chuxing and Ruqi Mobility in 2024, with high investor interest reflected in a 21.14 times oversubscription in the public offering and 2.78 times in the international offering [3] - Despite the strong market interest, the stock opened below the issue price of HKD 41.94 and closed at HKD 36.00, representing a decline of 14.16% on the first day [3] - The company aims to enhance operational efficiency in individual cities and achieve regional profitability, particularly in second and third-tier cities, amidst a competitive market transitioning from scale expansion to quality development [8] Financial Performance - Cao Cao Mobility's revenue grew significantly from RMB 76.31 billion in 2022 to RMB 146.57 billion in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 38.5% [5] - The company reported continuous losses, with net losses of RMB 20.07 billion, RMB 19.81 billion, and RMB 12.46 billion from 2022 to 2024, totaling RMB 52.34 billion [5] - The sales cost increased from RMB 79.7 billion in 2022 to RMB 134.72 billion in 2024, impacting profitability [5] Debt and Financial Pressure - Cao Cao Mobility's short-term and long-term debts rose from RMB 34.72 billion in 2022 to RMB 56.77 billion in 2024, with a debt ratio of 177% by the end of 2024 and cash and cash equivalents of only RMB 1.59 billion [6] - The company's reliance on third-party aggregation platforms increased, with orders from these platforms rising from 49.9% of Gross Transaction Value (GTV) in 2022 to 85.4% in 2024, leading to a surge in commission costs from RMB 3.2 billion to RMB 10.5 billion [6] Strategic Focus - To differentiate itself, Cao Cao Mobility is focusing on customized vehicles and autonomous driving, leveraging resources from Geely Auto Group to build the largest customized vehicle fleet in China, with over 34,000 vehicles operating in 31 cities by the end of 2024 [7] - The company has launched the Cao Cao Zhixing platform and is piloting Robotaxi services in Suzhou and Hangzhou, indicating a commitment to innovation despite the associated financial and technical challenges [8] - As of March 2025, the service coverage expanded to 146 cities, highlighting the company's growth potential [8]