五大“影子美联储主席”候选人背景起底：鸽派、鹰派、“自己人”？

Group 1: Candidates for Federal Reserve Chair - The list of candidates to succeed Jerome Powell as the next Federal Reserve Chair has narrowed down, including Kevin Warsh, Kevin Hassett, Scott Bessent, David Malpass, and Christopher Waller [1][2] - Trump is reportedly growing impatient with Powell's stance on interest rates and is expected to make a decision soon, despite Powell's term ending in May 2026 [1][2] Group 2: Kevin Warsh - Warsh was once a leading candidate for the position, having served as a Federal Reserve Governor from 2006 to 2011 and acted as a liaison during the 2008 financial crisis [1][2] - He has recently criticized the Fed's current policies and called for a "strategic reset" to restore credibility [2] Group 3: Christopher Waller - Waller is noted for being the first Federal Reserve Governor to advocate for a rate cut in July, believing that any inflation caused by tariffs would not be persistent [3] - His candidacy is seen as weakened due to his vote to maintain interest rates in the last meeting [3] Group 4: Scott Bessent - Bessent, the current Treasury Secretary, has expressed a desire to remain in his position but has not ruled out the possibility of becoming the next Fed Chair [4][5] - He has a long-standing reputation in the investment management industry and has previously led a macro-focused hedge fund [5] Group 5: David Malpass - Malpass has been an advocate for rate cuts to stimulate growth, arguing that the Fed's economic forecasts are overly pessimistic [6] - He has a background in economics and has held significant positions in both the Treasury and the World Bank [6] Group 6: Kevin Hassett - Hassett, the Director of the National Economic Council, has a close relationship with Trump and has recently stated that the Fed should take action to lower rates [7][8] - He has indicated that current inflation is at a four-year low and believes that growth is in a favorable position [8]