林天顺：6.29黄金周评：风险溢价消退金价寻求支撑，下周聚焦3250

Core Viewpoint - The recent ceasefire agreement between Israel and Iran has influenced gold prices, leading to a bearish trend in the market, with potential further declines expected in the near term [1]. Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - Following the ceasefire announcement, gold prices peaked at 3393 but subsequently fell to 3295, indicating a bearish trend [1]. - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has shown negative signals, suggesting increased selling pressure and the likelihood of continued price declines [1]. - Key support levels for gold are identified at 3260 and 3253, with a primary bearish outlook prevailing [1]. Group 2: Trading Strategies - A short-term buying opportunity is suggested if gold prices drop to around 3255, with a stop loss at 3245 and a target of 3290-3300 [2]. - A selling strategy is recommended for gold if it rebounds to the 3310-15 range, with a stop loss at 3320 and a target of 3290-3280, extending to 3250 if the price breaks down [2]. Group 3: Silver Market Analysis - Silver prices have shown slight declines after previous gains, trading around 36.50 USD per ounce, with concerns about the Federal Reserve's independence potentially limiting further declines [4]. - The silver market remains bullish as long as prices do not fall below the critical support level of 35.2, with a short-term target of 37 USD [4].