即将调整！油价或迎年内最大涨幅！

Core Viewpoint - The international oil prices are experiencing significant increases, with expectations of the largest price hike of the year due to geopolitical tensions and strong global demand [1][2]. Group 1: Oil Price Trends - As of June 27, 2023, the price of light crude oil futures for August delivery on the New York Mercantile Exchange rose by $0.28 to $65.52 per barrel, an increase of 0.43% [1]. - The Brent crude oil futures for August delivery increased by $0.04 to $67.77 per barrel, marking a rise of 0.06% [1]. - Domestic refined oil prices are expected to rise, with gasoline and diesel projected to increase by 600 yuan per ton, translating to an increase of approximately 0.49 to 0.51 yuan per liter [1]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The International Energy Agency (IEA) forecasts that from 2024 to 2030, global oil demand will increase by an average of 2.5 million barrels per day, while global oil production capacity is expected to rise by over 5 million barrels per day [2]. - By 2030, global oil demand is projected to reach approximately 105.5 million barrels per day, while production capacity will reach about 114.7 million barrels per day [2]. - The IEA's director highlighted that while oil supply is expected to remain ample in the coming years, recent events underscore significant geopolitical risks to oil supply security [2].