Core Viewpoint - The article discusses China's reluctance to import American oil, emphasizing that it does not align with China's national interests and is influenced by various factors including cost, quality, policy stability, and energy security [1][3][9]. Group 1: Reasons for Reluctance to Import American Oil - High Cost of American Oil: The extraction cost of American shale oil is significantly higher compared to oil from other countries, with breakeven points around $61-$62 per barrel, while Saudi Arabia's cost is only $2.8 per barrel [3][5]. - Quality and Compatibility Issues: American oil, primarily shale oil, has lower quality and requires more complex processing compared to oil from the Middle East and Russia, which affects the cost-effectiveness of imports [5][7]. - Policy Instability: The fluctuating energy export policies from the U.S., especially under Trump's administration, create an unpredictable environment for importers, making long-term partnerships with other countries more appealing [7][9]. Group 2: Energy Security and Strategic Considerations - Energy Security Strategy: China maintains a diversified import strategy to reduce dependency on any single country, ensuring energy security given its large demand for oil, which is projected to reach 553 million tons in 2024 [9][12]. - Declining Dependence on Foreign Oil: China's reliance on foreign oil is decreasing, with a projected dependency rate of 71.9% in 2024, down 0.5 percentage points from the previous year, indicating a shift towards alternative energy sources [12].
中国为何不愿购买美国石油?真如坊间传闻,因为中美关系不睦吗?
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-06-29 04:52