黄金今日行情走势要点分析（2025.6.30）

Group 1: Fundamental Analysis - The trade situation between China and the US has improved, with an agreement to accelerate rare earth exports to the US, which has weakened gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset [2] - G7 countries signed an agreement to avoid a global tax war, reducing uncertainty in global economic policies and further boosting stock market optimism, which negatively impacts gold prices [4] - The US consumer spending unexpectedly declined by 0.1% in May, while personal income fell by 0.4%, indicating potential economic weakness [5] - Market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in September have risen to 92.5%, which typically supports gold prices due to lower opportunity costs [5] - Geopolitical tensions remain high with Trump's consideration of military action against Iran and ongoing conflicts in Ukraine, providing potential long-term support for gold as a safe-haven asset [4] Group 2: Technical Analysis - Gold has shown a weak downward trend, breaking below the 60-day moving average, indicating a bearish outlook [7] - The current price action suggests that gold is in a corrective phase, with key support levels around 3247, which aligns with previous low points [9] - Resistance levels to watch include 3283, which is the high point from the previous Friday's rebound, indicating potential short-term reversal points [9]