2025年6月30日，国内黄金9995价格多少钱一克？

Core Viewpoint - The recent decline in gold prices is influenced by easing geopolitical tensions, uncertainty in Federal Reserve policies, and a shift in fund flows from gold ETFs [1][2]. Geopolitical Situation - The recent easing of tensions in the Middle East, particularly the ceasefire between Israel and Iran, has weakened the safe-haven appeal of gold. The ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict and increasing great power competition continue to pose long-term geopolitical risks that may support gold prices in the future. Following the ceasefire agreement, COMEX gold futures experienced a drop of over 2% [1]. Federal Reserve Policy - Market expectations regarding Federal Reserve interest rate cuts are inconsistent. The latest CME "FedWatch" indicates an 81.9% probability of maintaining rates in July and a 76% probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut by September. Stronger-than-expected PCE data and tariff policies from the Trump administration may delay the rate cut timeline, suppressing gold price rebounds. However, if subsequent economic data shows weakness, it could strengthen demand for gold as a safe haven [1]. Fund Flows - According to the World Gold Council, global gold ETF demand turned negative in May, with North American and Asian funds leading the decline. This marks the first monthly net outflow from global gold ETFs, with total assets under management decreasing by 1% month-over-month. The shift in fund flows is putting pressure on the gold market [1]. Market Outlook - Gold is currently in a short-term downward trend due to reduced market risk appetite stemming from geopolitical easing and uncertainty in Federal Reserve policies. However, long-term factors such as global debt issues and great power competition may reactivate gold's safe-haven attributes. Future expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts could also drive gold prices higher. Short-term attention should be on the breakout situation in the $3250 - $3280 range, as well as the outcomes of tariff negotiations on July 9 and Federal Reserve policy developments [2].