金荣中国：美非农数据超级周来袭，金价扩大跌幅加剧偏空震荡

Market Overview - International gold prices experienced a significant decline on June 27, with an opening price of $3324.88 per ounce, a high of $3336.42, a low of $3256.00, and a closing price of $3274.59 [1] Economic Indicators - The U.S. core PCE price index for May recorded a year-on-year increase of 2.7%, surpassing market expectations of 2.6% and up from a previous value of 2.5% [2] - The month-on-month core PCE price index for May was reported at 0.2%, also above the expected 0.1% and the previous value of 0.1% [2] - Consumer spending unexpectedly declined by 0.1% in May, contrary to market expectations of a 0.1% increase, indicating a slowdown in consumer activity [2] - The quarterly growth in consumer spending was only 0.5%, marking the lowest increase since Q2 2020 [2] - Consumer expectations for price increases over the next year have decreased to 5%, down from 6.6% in May, which was the largest monthly increase since 2001 [2] Trade Relations - President Trump stated that there is no need to extend the July 9 trade deadline, emphasizing that countries must reach agreements with the U.S. before this date to avoid higher tariffs [3] - The U.S. Treasury Secretary mentioned that negotiations with several countries are ongoing, and agreements with 10 to 12 of the 18 key trade partners could potentially be finalized by Labor Day (September 1) [3] Geopolitical Developments - President Trump indicated that a ceasefire in Gaza may be "close" to being achieved within a week, and he is open to lifting sanctions on Iran if they agree to peace [5] - The U.S. Senate rejected a proposal to limit Trump's military action against Iran [5] - Ukraine reported the largest airstrike by Russia since the conflict began, with 537 aerial weapons launched, of which 249 were intercepted by Ukrainian forces [6] Technical Analysis - Gold prices showed a strong bearish trend, with significant downward movement observed, particularly during the trading session on June 27 [8] - The daily chart indicates a strong bearish candlestick formation, suggesting a potential downward trend continuation [8] - Short-term indicators show oversold conditions, indicating a possible need for price correction [9] Trading Strategy - Suggested trading ranges include aggressive long positions at $3249 with a target above $3263 and aggressive short positions at $3283 with a target below $3265 [10] - A cautious approach is recommended, maintaining a focus on potential fluctuations in gold prices due to upcoming economic data releases [10]