Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-06-30 02:23Core Viewpoint - The home appliance industry is expected to experience significant retail growth during the 2025 618 shopping festival, driven by low-priced small appliances and sustained growth in major appliance categories, with leading companies benefiting from policy incentives and leading the upgrade of product structures [1][2]. Group 1: Retail Growth and Performance - The overall retail performance of the home appliance industry has significantly improved, with online sales accelerating during the 618 shopping festival, showing a weighted average year-on-year growth of +15% across 20 representative categories [2]. - High-priced major appliances saw volume growth, while average prices remained stable, with air conditioners, washing machines, and black appliances experiencing retail growth rates exceeding 20% [2]. - Low-priced small appliances also showed strong performance, with online average prices for products like rice cookers, pressure cookers, and air fryers increasing by over 10% year-on-year [2]. Group 2: Leading Brands and Product Upgrades - Leading brands performed exceptionally well during the 618 shopping festival, with Midea's retail sales growing over 20% and Gree's air conditioner sales leading the market, particularly the "Wind Does Not Blow" series, which saw a 240% year-on-year increase [3]. - In the black appliance sector, Hisense maintained a 24% market share in television sales, with strong performance in the high-end market [3]. - The cleaning appliance segment saw strong growth, with Ecovacs and Roborock leading in sales, achieving first and second place in the 618 shopping festival [3]. Group 3: Subsidy Policies and Market Outlook - The continuation of the national subsidy program for appliance replacements is expected, with approximately 500 billion yuan in subsidy funds utilized by the end of May, indicating a faster-than-expected pace [4]. - An additional 138 billion yuan in central funds will be allocated in July and October 2025, ensuring a steady release of demand in the home appliance sector [4]. - The home appliance industry is anticipated to maintain stable demand release in the second half of 2025, supported by a more balanced use of subsidy funds [4].