明晚，成品油零售限价或迎今年以来首个“三连涨”

Core Viewpoint - The domestic retail price of refined oil is expected to increase significantly, marking the first "three consecutive increases" of the year, driven by fluctuations in international crude oil prices and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East [1][2]. Group 1: Price Adjustment Predictions - The upcoming adjustment window for domestic refined oil retail prices is set for July 1, with predictions indicating an increase exceeding 50 yuan per ton [1]. - As of June 27, the reference crude oil price change rate was at 6%, suggesting an expected increase of 260 yuan per ton for gasoline and diesel [1]. - The anticipated price increases for 92 gasoline, 95 gasoline, and 0 diesel are 0.2 yuan, 0.22 yuan, and 0.22 yuan per liter, respectively [1]. Group 2: Historical Context - Since the beginning of 2025, there have been 12 rounds of retail price adjustments for refined oil, resulting in five increases, five decreases, and two instances of no change [2]. - Following the adjustments, the prices of gasoline and diesel per ton have decreased by 330 yuan and 315 yuan, respectively, compared to the end of last year [2]. Group 3: Adjustment Summary - A summary of the price adjustments since January 2025 shows various increases and decreases, with the most recent increase on June 17 resulting in 260 yuan for gasoline and 255 yuan for diesel [3]. - The cumulative price changes since the beginning of the year indicate a total decrease of 330 yuan for gasoline and 315 yuan for diesel [3].