伊以停火后，特朗普公开发文，把中国安排得明明白白，伊朗没吭声

Core Viewpoint - Trump's tweet has significantly impacted the international energy market, stirring tensions and prompting reactions from various stakeholders, particularly regarding oil trade between China and Iran [1][3][4]. Group 1: International Market Reactions - Trump's tweet led to an 18% increase in Brent crude oil futures, reaching a nearly five-month high, reflecting heightened market tension following U.S. actions against Iran's nuclear facilities [3]. - The tweet was interpreted as a diplomatic signal towards Iran, suggesting potential easing of oil sanctions in exchange for concessions on nuclear issues, while also testing China's response regarding oil purchases [4][9]. Group 2: Iran's Strategic Silence - Iran's silence in response to Trump's tweet is a calculated decision based on national interests, as the country heavily relies on oil exports to China, which account for 80% to 90% of its total exports [8]. - In 2024, Iran's total crude oil exports were approximately 587 million barrels, with daily imports from China stabilizing around 1.5 million barrels, highlighting the economic interdependence between the two nations [8]. Group 3: Complexity of International Energy Dynamics - Trump's actions represent a typical "testing the waters" strategy, aiming to disrupt the China-Iran energy relationship and encourage China to purchase more U.S. oil [9]. - The nature of oil trade is governed by supply and demand dynamics, and unilateral actions may not effectively alter the established international energy landscape, which is characterized by mutual benefits and cooperation [9][11]. - The ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, coupled with Trump's tweet, underscore the complexities of international relations and the resilience of multilateral economic cooperation [11].