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招商证券:AI及无人化聚焦落地 重视稳定币及RWA金融创新
Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-07-01 01:23

Core Viewpoint - The investment opportunities in the computer sector for the first half of 2025 are primarily focused on three main themes: AI, automation, and financial technology, with a market preference for small-cap companies and rapid rotation of sub-themes [1] Group 1: Investment Opportunities - The computer sector's investment focus for 2025 H1 includes AI, automation, and financial technology, with a notable trend towards small-cap stocks [1] - The trading volume of small-cap stocks in the CSI 2000 index reached a peak of 35% in early 2025, indicating a renewed interest in small-cap stocks [1] - Key investment opportunities identified include AI industry chain investments driven by DeepSeek R1, financial technology innovations related to cross-border payments and stablecoins, and the commercialization of unmanned logistics vehicles [1] Group 2: AI Applications - The B-end AI applications in China are expected to see significant improvements due to the iteration of large models like DeepSeek, although the commercialization of B-end applications lags behind C-end applications [2] - C-end AIGC applications are rapidly developing, with DeepSeek and Doubao achieving over 100 million active users, while B-end applications are hindered by lower willingness to pay for software services [2] - The shift from function-based to effect-based payment models for B-end software is anticipated, enhancing product transformation and market potential [2] Group 3: Automation and Robotics - The commercialization of unmanned logistics and Robotaxi services is progressing, with Tesla's Robotaxi in Austin charging $4.2 per ride and aiming for a fleet of 1,000 vehicles [2] - The gross margin for Robotaxi services could reach 70%-80%, significantly higher than traditional automotive business margins [2] - Chinese companies are positioned as key players in the global autonomous driving commercialization process, with various applications like unmanned logistics vehicles and robots expected to achieve breakthroughs [2] Group 4: Stablecoins and Regulation - The market for stablecoins is projected to grow rapidly with the advancement of regulatory frameworks, acting as a bridge between traditional finance and Web3 [3] - As of June 25, 2025, the global market capitalization of stablecoins reached $251.1 billion, with USDT and USDC accounting for $156.7 billion and $61.7 billion, respectively [3] - Recent legislative developments, such as the U.S. GENIUS Act and Hong Kong's stablecoin regulations, are expected to facilitate the integration of stablecoins into the legal and digital asset ecosystems [3]