特朗普关税大限将至，欧洲港口陷入“末日囤货”式拥堵

Core Points - The impending tariff deadline set by Trump on July 9 is causing significant congestion in major European ports, with delays expected to last for several months [1][3] - The congestion is exacerbated by labor shortages, strikes, low water levels in the Rhine River, and increased risks in the Red Sea shipping routes [1][4] - The European ports are facing a dual challenge of increased cargo from Asia and the urgency to ship goods to the U.S. before the tariff deadline [4] Tariff Impact - Trump's tariffs include a 10% baseline tariff and 50% tariffs on steel and aluminum, affecting approximately 70% of EU exports to the U.S., valued at around €380 billion (approximately $430 billion) [3] - The EU has prepared retaliatory measures targeting U.S. products worth about €210 billion, with additional products under negotiation valued at €950 billion [3][4] - If the tariffs are implemented, EU exports to the U.S. could decrease by more than half [4] EU Internal Dynamics - There is a division within the EU regarding the approach to U.S. tariffs, with some countries advocating for a quick agreement to avoid escalation, while others, like France, prefer a tougher stance [6] - The proposed "Swiss cheese agreement" suggests a compromise involving lower tariffs on certain goods while imposing higher tariffs on others [6] Broader Economic Implications - The congestion in European ports reflects Trump's strong position in tariff negotiations, but it may also signal potential economic repercussions for the U.S. if agreements are not reached [8] - The ongoing trade tensions and port congestion are not limited to Europe, as similar issues have been reported in U.S. ports like Seattle-Tacoma and Oakland [8]