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Group 1: Federal Reserve Policy - The market is focused on the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy, with officials indicating a cautious approach to potential rate cuts in July, with a probability of less than 20% [1] - Most expectations lean towards a rate cut in September or later, with a slight probability of over 50% for a September cut [1] - Labor market shows signs of slowing but remains strong, supporting the Fed's wait-and-see approach [1] Group 2: Cryptocurrency Market - Grayscale's ETH sell-off has been accounted for, but buying power remains, indicating a net inflow, although the amount is low, reflecting limited interest from traditional investors [4] - ETH has outperformed BTC in terms of net inflow, with ETH's inflow increasing by 8 times compared to BTC's 2 times [4] - BTC has not experienced large-scale liquidations recently, suggesting a potential for 20% volatility, typically indicating a trend [5] - BTC closed above 107,000, with a short-term upward wedge pattern indicating potential support [5] - ETH's holdings by U.S. ETF investors have surpassed 4 million, marking a historical high [6] Group 3: Market Sentiment and Strategy - The current market sentiment shows a divergence, with skepticism towards BTC's future while maintaining optimism for altcoins [8] - Strategies suggest a dual approach of long and short positions, especially in a volatile market [9] - Recent projects in the primary market have shown promising performance, contrasting with the sluggish secondary market [9]