30年国债ETF博时(511130)盘中持续走高，机构：2025年第三季度债券市场做多胜率提升

Group 1 - The 30-year government bond ETF (博时) has shown a price increase of 0.22% as of July 1, 2025, with a recent price of 112.38 yuan, and a cumulative increase of 1.11% over the past month as of June 30, 2025 [3] - The trading volume for the 30-year government bond ETF was active, with a turnover rate of 15.58% and a transaction value of 1.135 billion yuan, averaging daily transactions of 2.776 billion yuan over the past week [3] - According to Zheshang Securities, the bond market's bullish sentiment is expected to increase in Q3 2025 due to factors such as declining funding rates, potential resumption of government bond purchases by the central bank, and rising probabilities of interest rate cuts [3] Group 2 - As of June 30, 2025, the 30-year government bond ETF has achieved a net value increase of 12.61% over the past year, ranking 5th out of 411 in the index bond fund category, placing it in the top 1.22% [4] - The fund has demonstrated strong performance metrics, including a maximum monthly return of 5.35%, a longest winning streak of 4 months, and a historical one-year profit probability of 100% [4] - The fund's management fee is 0.15% and the custody fee is 0.05%, with a tracking error of 0.049% over the past month [4] Group 3 - The top ten weighted bonds in the Shanghai 30-year government bond index (950175) include various special and coupon bonds, with the top ten accounting for 100% of the index [5]