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挑战监管容忍度,新台币大跌后再度飙升!
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen·2025-07-01 07:46

Core Viewpoint - The recent volatility of the New Taiwan Dollar (NTD) poses challenges to regulatory tolerance, with significant fluctuations impacting local businesses and the financial market [1][4][5]. Group 1: NTD Volatility - The NTD experienced a significant increase of 2.5% against the USD, marking the largest single-day gain since early May, bringing its year-to-date appreciation to 12%, the strongest among Asian currencies [1][4]. - The previous trading day saw the NTD plummet by 2.5%, the largest single-day drop since 2001, indicating a pattern of extreme volatility [4][5]. - Analysts suggest that the fluctuations reflect a delicate balance for regulators between maintaining exchange rate stability and responding to the weakening USD [4][5]. Group 2: Impact on Local Businesses - The recent volatility coincides with local companies preparing to release their semi-annual reports, which could directly affect the financial performance of firms, including life insurance companies and exporters [4][5]. - The surge in the NTD was driven by significant dollar sales from local exporters and foreign capital inflows, prompting public banks to intervene by purchasing USD to stabilize liquidity [5][6]. Group 3: Regulatory Response - Regulatory authorities are increasingly concerned about the NTD's appreciation, which poses risks to Taiwan's export-dependent economy and pressures life insurance companies holding USD-denominated assets [6][7]. - The Financial Supervisory Commission (FSC) has implemented measures allowing life insurance companies to increase foreign exchange reserves to offset potential losses from NTD appreciation [7][8]. - The central bank has also intensified warnings regarding currency purchases by local trading companies and has taken steps to limit foreign capital speculation on the NTD, demonstrating a commitment to stabilizing the exchange rate [8].