国内成品油零售价格迎三连涨，每升92号汽油上涨0.18元

Core Viewpoint - The domestic retail prices of refined oil in China have increased for the third consecutive time, marking the sixth adjustment of the year, driven by fluctuations in international oil prices and seasonal demand [1][2]. Price Adjustments - As of July 1, 2025, the prices for gasoline and diesel will rise by 235 yuan and 225 yuan per ton, respectively [2]. - The price increase translates to an additional cost of 0.18 yuan per liter for 92-octane gasoline, 0.19 yuan for 95-octane gasoline, and 0.19 yuan for 0-octane diesel [3]. Market Dynamics - The domestic refined oil market has experienced a mixed trend, with prices initially rising due to strong international oil prices, followed by a slight decline, but ultimately closing higher [4]. - The third quarter is expected to be a peak consumption season for refined oil, with increased demand driven by summer travel [4]. Demand Insights - Gasoline demand remains stable, while diesel demand is weaker due to seasonal factors and adverse weather conditions affecting outdoor work [5]. - Analysts predict that gasoline prices will stabilize with slight fluctuations, while diesel prices may face downward pressure [4][7]. International Oil Market - International oil prices have recently declined from high levels, influenced by easing geopolitical tensions and an increase in supply [8]. - OPEC+ has agreed to raise oil production by 411,000 barrels per day in July, continuing a trend of increased output [8][9]. Future Outlook - The market anticipates that OPEC+ will maintain a significant production increase in the coming months, which may exert downward pressure on oil prices [9]. - The overall sentiment in the oil market remains cautious, with expectations of continued fluctuations in international oil prices [9].