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稳定币战争,中美瓜分全球主权货币?
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-07-01 10:04

Core Insights - The competition for stablecoin dominance between China and the U.S. has intensified, with major players like Circle and JD.com entering the fray [1][6][7] - Stablecoins are seen as a means to bypass traditional banking systems, offering faster and more efficient transactions, which could reshape global financial dynamics [3][5] - The issuance of stablecoins is linked to the underlying currency reserves, with U.S. stablecoins like USDC being backed by U.S. Treasury securities, thus supporting the demand for U.S. debt [5][6] Group 1: Market Dynamics - Circle's market capitalization has surged to over $40 billion due to its compliance with U.S. regulations, positioning it as a key player in the stablecoin market [2] - The demand for stablecoins is projected to reach $2 trillion by the end of 2028, significantly increasing the purchasing demand for U.S. short-term debt [5][6] - The competition for stablecoin issuance is not just about market share but also about gaining control over monetary influence and the ability to print currency [7][9] Group 2: Regulatory Landscape - The U.S. is adopting a "market-first, regulation-following" approach, while Hong Kong is implementing a "regulatory framework before licensing" strategy for stablecoins [6][9] - The potential for stablecoins to undermine national monetary sovereignty has raised concerns among global financial institutions, with warnings issued about the risks of "dollarization" in emerging economies [9][10] - The regulatory environment will play a crucial role in determining the success of stablecoin initiatives in both the U.S. and China [9][10] Group 3: Investment Implications - Stablecoins are viewed as a double-edged sword for individual investors, representing both opportunities and risks amid geopolitical tensions [10] - The evolution of stablecoins could lead to a redistribution of wealth and power within the global financial system, as they may exacerbate market volatility [10] - The competition for stablecoin dominance reflects broader trends in the financial sector, where efficiency and speed in currency transactions are becoming increasingly critical [8][10]