瑞银：下调10年期美债收益率预测至4.10%

Core Viewpoint - UBS has lowered its forecast for the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield to 4.10% due to a weakening outlook for the U.S. labor market [1] Group 1: Yield Forecast - UBS revised the 10-year Treasury yield expectation down from 4.20% to 4.10%, with a stop-loss level set at 4.40% [1] - The firm anticipates that if upcoming U.S. employment data is weak, including initial jobless claims and non-farm payroll data, Treasury yields may decline [1] Group 2: Market Insights - UBS is betting on a steepening of the U.S. Treasury yield curve, indicating an expansion in the difference between short-term and long-term yields [1] - Tradeweb data shows the latest 10-year U.S. Treasury yield at 4.199%, having previously reached a two-month low of 4.191% [1]