老铺黄金股价年内狂飙321.5%，公募持仓分化，谁在“All in”、谁已全身而退？

Core Viewpoint - The stock price of Laopu Gold (06181.HK) has been rising significantly, leading to a divergence in public fund holdings, with some funds aggressively increasing their positions while others are cashing out or reducing their stakes [1][3][12]. Group 1: Stock Performance - On July 1, Laopu Gold's stock price reached a new high of 1008 HKD per share, with a 14.9% increase, and has seen a year-to-date rise of 321.5% [2][3]. - The stock's dynamic PE ratio has reached 68 times, significantly higher than competitors such as Chow Tai Fook (22 times) and Lao Feng Xiang (8 times), indicating a notable premium and potential for valuation correction [3][12]. Group 2: Fund Holdings - As of the end of Q1 2025, 17 public funds held a total of 46 funds heavily invested in Laopu Gold, with 2 funds increasing their holdings, 10 reducing, and 34 entering as new heavy investors [3][11]. - The top holder, Fortune Fund, increased its holdings by 113.75 thousand shares to 158.86 thousand shares, with a market value of 1.069 billion HKD [4][5]. - In contrast, GF Fund reduced its holdings by 19.61 thousand shares, maintaining a position of 73.13 thousand shares, with a market value of 491 million HKD [6][11]. Group 3: Fund Performance - Funds heavily invested in Laopu Gold have shown strong performance, with some, like Xin Ao You Xiang Life A, increasing nearly 50% year-to-date, while others like GF Value Core A and Southern Hong Kong Growth have risen by 37.86% and 36.91%, respectively [8][12]. - A significant number of funds have begun to reduce their positions, with 10 funds heavily invested in Laopu Gold in Q1 significantly cutting back in Q2, indicating a shift in sentiment [10][11]. Group 4: Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - The divergence in fund holdings reflects differing views on Laopu Gold's valuation, with some funds adopting a "step-by-step profit-taking" strategy amid concerns over high valuations and potential market corrections [9][12]. - The market's future direction will depend on Laopu Gold's ability to sustain high growth rates to justify its elevated valuation, especially in light of potential fluctuations in gold prices and consumer recovery [12].