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花旗:予老铺黄金(06181)“买入”评级 目标价1119港元
智通财经网· 2025-11-28 07:06
根据其对老铺黄金在SKP购物中心门市调查,预计其11月促销期间的同店销售增长率超过200%,与今 年8月及上半年表现相似,并相信这持续的增长动能,可预示明年农历新年期间的需求看好,亦认为老 铺的同店销售增长率尚有进一步增长空间。 智通财经APP获悉,花旗发布研报称,予老铺黄金(06181)"买入"评级,并基于2025年预测36倍市盈率, 予目标价1119港元,以对应预测2026年26.4倍市盈率。 花旗又预计,老铺今年在SKP的销售额将达到50亿元人民币,2026年销售额将成长8%至11%,主要受惠 于客单价的提升。花旗又指,尽管该股自2024年6月首次公开募股以来,股价已大幅上涨,但认为其强 劲的基本面将支持其估值进一步上升。 花旗表示,老铺在10月26日涨价前一周,客流量较8月涨价前有所增长,但提价后,日均销售额约为8月 涨价后的三分之一。鉴于提价前的销售活动比以往的促销活动更能吸引消费者的购买力;更大的销售规 模延长了补货周期,花旗预计,此次提价后的冷静期将比以往10至15天更长。 ...
中法关系改善利好欧洲经贸 消费龙头再度发力
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-27 12:34
Market Overview - US stock indices rebounded overnight, with Hong Kong stocks slightly fluctuating and closing up 0.07% [1] - The economic outlook remains cautious, with half of the Federal Reserve districts reporting decreased hiring intentions, indicating potential interest rate cuts in December [2] International Relations - Trump urged Japanese Prime Minister Kishi to avoid escalating tensions regarding Taiwan, reflecting a more restrained stance from Japan [1] - French President Macron is set to visit China from December 3, aiming to improve Sino-French relations, which could benefit European relations as well [1] Consumer Sector - Pop Mart (09992) is expected to benefit from the upcoming holiday season, with a nearly 7% increase in stock price [3] - The automotive sector is seeing growth, with the Ministry of Commerce promoting reforms to boost consumption, leading to significant stock price increases for companies like Yongda Automobile (03669) [2] Technology and Innovation - Alibaba's Quark AI glasses were launched, with significant pre-sale success, leading to a 4% increase in stock price for related companies [4] - TCL Electronics is also entering the AI glasses market, contributing to a 6% rise in its stock price [4] Pharmaceutical Industry - Hansoh Pharmaceutical (03692) is advancing its innovative drug pipeline, with significant revenue growth and a strong project reserve [7] - The company reported a 22.1% year-on-year increase in sales revenue for its innovative drugs in the first half of 2025 [7] Gold Market - Deutsche Bank has raised its gold price forecast for 2026, indicating a structural bull market driven by official purchases rather than consumer demand [6] - The potential shift of cryptocurrency funds into physical gold could further boost prices, impacting related stocks [6] Clinical Trials and Drug Approvals - Hansoh Pharmaceutical has over 40 innovative drug candidates in clinical trials, with several new drugs entering Phase III trials [9] - The company has secured international partnerships for its ADC products, highlighting its growing recognition in the global market [9]
老铺黄金午后涨超4% 管理层对明年销售及盈利保持信心 黄金购买税改动影响有限
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-27 06:33
消息面上,11月23日,老铺黄金北京王府中环店焕新启幕,店铺位置由原先二层中岛升级为边店,面积 同步扩大。中信建投(601066)发布研报称,在10月末大幅提价后,看到王府中环等高奢商场在活动下 表现更优,更好适应调价后新的价格体系。 野村近日发布研报称,老铺黄金管理层对2026年销售及盈利保持信心。尽管老铺10月进行第三次提价, 近数周仍有顾客在部分分店外排队等候进店。近期黄金购买税修改,将增加老铺采购原材料成本6%, 野村估算或致毛利率或收窄3至4个百分点。但野村认为实际毛利率影响较小,因老铺早前提价及在较低 成本时累积黄金库存。 老铺黄金(06181)午后涨超4%,截至发稿,涨4.37%,报669港元,成交额4.72亿港元。 ...
港股异动 | 老铺黄金(06181)午后涨超4% 管理层对明年销售及盈利保持信心 黄金购买税改动影响有限
智通财经网· 2025-11-27 06:31
消息面上,11月23日,老铺黄金北京王府中环店焕新启幕,店铺位置由原先二层中岛升级为边店,面积 同步扩大。中信建投发布研报称,在10月末大幅提价后,看到王府中环等高奢商场在活动下表现更优, 更好适应调价后新的价格体系。 野村近日发布研报称,老铺黄金管理层对2026年销售及盈利保持信心。尽管老铺10月进行第三次提价, 近数周仍有顾客在部分分店外排队等候进店。近期黄金购买税修改,将增加老铺采购原材料成本6%, 野村估算或致毛利率或收窄3至4个百分点。但野村认为实际毛利率影响较小,因老铺早前提价及在较低 成本时累积黄金库存。 智通财经APP获悉,老铺黄金(06181)午后涨超4%,截至发稿,涨4.37%,报669港元,成交额4.72亿港 元。 ...
老铺黄金(06181.HK):11月26日南向资金减持7.97万股
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-26 19:35
证券之星消息,11月26日南向资金减持7.97万股老铺黄金(06181.HK)。近5个交易日中,获南向资金 减持的有4天,累计净减持19.06万股。近20个交易日中,获南向资金增持的有9天,累计净增持121.09万 股。截至目前,南向资金持有老铺黄金(06181.HK)1916.92万股,占公司已发行普通股的13.37%。 | 交易日 | 持股总数(股) | 持股变动(股) | 变动幅度 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025-11-26 | 1916.92万 | -7.97万 | -0.41% | | 2025-11-25 | 1924.88万 | -3.64万 | -0.19% | | 2025-11-24 | 1928.52万 | 7.45万 | 0.39% | | 2025-11-21 | 1921.07万 | -4.92万 | -0.26% | | 2025-11-20 | 1925.99万 | -9.99万 | -0.52% | 以上内容为证券之星据公开信息整理,由AI算法生成(网信算备310104345710301240019号),不构成 投资建议。 老铺黄金股份有 ...
老铺黄金-增长轨迹保持完好_管理层表达乐观;黄金购置税影响有限
2025-11-24 01:46
Summary of Laopu Gold Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Laopu Gold (Ticker: 6181.HK) - **Industry**: General Consumer, specifically jewelry Key Points and Arguments Sales Performance - Laopu Gold's sales momentum remains strong, with sales on Tmall exceeding CNY 1 billion during the Double-Eleven period [1][2] - Despite a 25% increase in product prices in October, consumer demand remains robust, evidenced by long lines at boutiques [1][2] Impact of Tax Changes - A recent tax change on gold purchases is expected to increase Laopu's raw material costs by approximately 6%, potentially reducing gross margin by 3-4 percentage points [1] - However, the actual impact on gross profit margin (GPM) may be mitigated by prior price hikes and existing inventory acquired at lower costs [1][2] Store Expansion Strategy - Laopu does not plan to open more stores in mainland China in 2026, focusing instead on improving existing boutiques through relocation and expansion [1] - The company aims to penetrate top commercial areas in tier-2 cities like Chongqing and Changsha, with plans to open 3-4 new stores in non-mainland China markets [1] Management Confidence - Management maintains confidence in sales and earnings growth momentum for 2026, supported by recent sales performance and planned boutique openings in key commercial areas [1][3] Financial Projections - Revenue projections for FY25F and FY26F are CNY 26,743 million and CNY 34,058 million, respectively [4] - Reported net profit for FY25F and FY26F is projected at CNY 4,838 million and CNY 6,188 million, respectively [4] - Normalized EPS is expected to grow significantly, with a projected growth rate of 199.5% for FY25F and 26.3% for FY26F [4] Valuation and Target Price - The target price for Laopu Gold is set at HKD 1,160, representing a 75% upside from the current trading price of HKD 663.50 [3][5] - The valuation is based on a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 30.0x for FY26F [3][13] Risks - Key risks that could impede achieving the target price include significant weakening of gold prices, higher-than-expected fashion risk, and a weaker macroeconomic environment [14][20] ESG Commitment - Laopu Gold is committed to sustainable mining practices, including eco-friendly extraction methods and community engagement through local job creation [15] Additional Important Information - Laopu Gold's market capitalization is approximately USD 15,061.7 million, with an average daily trading volume of USD 141 million [5][9] - The company has a strong return on equity (ROE) projected at 68.5% for FY25F, declining to 49.6% by FY27F [4][11] This summary encapsulates the key insights from the conference call, highlighting Laopu Gold's strong sales performance, strategic plans, financial outlook, and commitment to sustainability.
老铺黄金 - 2025 年亚太峰会反馈
2025-11-24 01:46
Summary of Laopu Gold Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Laopu Gold (6181.HK) - **Industry**: China/Hong Kong Consumer - **Current Stock Price**: HK$642.00 (as of November 20, 2025) - **Market Capitalization**: RMB 91,358.3 million - **Price Target**: HK$1,010.00, implying a 57% upside potential [6][6][6] Key Industry Insights - **Total Addressable Market**: Laopu Gold currently has 660,000 members, with a target market of over 6 million high-net-worth (HNW) households in China, alongside a larger entry-level consumer market [3][3][3] - **Store Expansion Plans**: The company aims to establish a presence in 50 high-end shopping malls in China, currently operating in 33 [3][3][3] Core Business Strategies - **Brand Positioning**: Laopu Gold is working to enhance its high-end brand image, moving away from the perception of being a "value-for-money" option. A price increase of over 25% was implemented in late October, which was higher than the increase in gold prices [4][4][4] - **Target Market**: The company is focusing on high-net-worth individuals (HNWIs) for product offerings, store expansion, customer service, and membership management [4][4][4] - **Sales Dynamics**: Approximately 50% of sales occur during marketing activities, indicating a strong reliance on promotional events [8][8][8] Financial Performance - **Growth Momentum**: Continued high growth momentum in the second half of 2025, driven by store openings and shopping festivals [8][8][8] - **Gross Profit Margin (GPM)**: Currently above 40%, despite higher VAT and pressure in the second half compared to the first half of the year [8][8][8] - **Future Projections**: Revenue is projected to grow from RMB 8,506 million in 2024 to RMB 45,409 million by 2027, with EPS increasing from RMB 9.47 to RMB 49.62 over the same period [6][6][6] Valuation and Risks - **Valuation Methodology**: The company is valued using a P/E-based methodology, with a target P/E of 23x for 2026, reflecting a lower-than-average PEG ratio due to expected growth deceleration [9][9][9] - **Risks**: - **Upside Risks**: Proactive consumption-related policy support, faster same-store sales growth, and a rally in gold prices [11][11][11] - **Downside Risks**: Delays in policy support, weaker demand trends due to gold price corrections, and potential sales growth slowdowns [11][11][11] Additional Insights - **Market Positioning**: Laopu Gold is transitioning from a product-driven to a brand-driven approach, aiming to capture demand from both entry-level consumers and HNWIs [8][8][8] - **Store Upgrades**: Plans to open or upgrade five stores in China and 3-4 stores outside China in 2026 [8][8][8] This summary encapsulates the key points from the Laopu Gold conference call, highlighting the company's strategic direction, market positioning, financial outlook, and associated risks.
老铺黄金(06181.HK):11月19日南向资金减持6.52万股
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-19 19:36
Core Viewpoint - Southbound funds reduced their holdings in Laopu Gold (06181.HK) by 65,200 shares on November 19, 2025, indicating a slight decrease in investor confidence in the short term [1]. Group 1: Shareholding Changes - Over the past five trading days, there were two days of net increases in holdings by southbound funds, totaling an increase of 322,800 shares [1]. - In the last twenty trading days, there were eleven days of net increases, with a total increase of 1,636,500 shares [1]. - As of now, southbound funds hold 19,359,800 shares of Laopu Gold, accounting for 13.51% of the company's total issued ordinary shares [1]. Group 2: Trading Data - On November 19, 2025, the total number of shares held was 19,359,800, reflecting a decrease of 65,200 shares, or 0.34% [2]. - On November 18, 2025, the total number of shares held was 19,425,000, with a decrease of 23,600 shares, or 0.12% [2]. - On November 17, 2025, the total number of shares held was 19,448,600, with a decrease of 12,100 shares, or 0.06% [2]. - On November 14, 2025, the total number of shares held was 19,460,700, with an increase of 154,700 shares, or 0.80% [2]. - On November 13, 2025, the total number of shares held was 19,306,000, with an increase of 269,000 shares, or 1.41% [2]. Group 3: Company Overview - Laopu Gold Co., Ltd. is engaged in the research, production, and sale of gold jewelry in China [2]. - The company offers product manufacturing and maintenance services, focusing on pure gold products and gold-inlaid products [2]. - Pure gold products are crafted using traditional handcraft techniques and include various daily wear accessories and larger decorative items [2].
老铺黄金跌逾3%
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-11-19 03:36
Group 1 - The stock of Laopu Gold (06181.HK) has experienced a decline of over 3%, currently trading at 647 HKD with a trading volume of 1.05 billion HKD [2] - The stock price showed a decrease of 3.07% at the time of reporting [2] - The intraday trading chart indicates fluctuations with a peak at 654 HKD and a low around 639.50 HKD [1]
老铺黄金(06181)将于1月15日派发中期股息每股10.52港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-18 13:48
Group 1 - The company, Lao Pu Gold (06181), announced a mid-term dividend of HKD 10.52 per share to be distributed on January 15, 2026 [1]