供需失衡加剧，光伏玻璃价格跌去70%，本月行业欲减产三成

Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic glass industry is undergoing a significant reduction in production, with major companies planning to cut output by approximately 30% to address supply-demand imbalances and improve market conditions [2][6]. Industry Overview - The photovoltaic glass industry is facing challenges, with a total reduction of 31,091 tons per day since July, achieving a reduction rate of about 26%, nearing the target of 30% [3]. - As of June, domestic supply of photovoltaic glass was approximately 54GW, with demand around 49-50GW, resulting in a monthly surplus of about 8-9GW, equating to a glass surplus of 350,000-400,000 tons [3]. - Current inventory levels are high, with stock estimated at 31-32 days, indicating a significant oversupply in the market [3]. Price Dynamics - The price of photovoltaic glass has dropped over 70% from its peak of 40 yuan per square meter in 2020, leading to financial strain on many companies [4]. - The market has seen continuous price declines since June, with some prices falling below 11 yuan per square meter, causing many companies to struggle to cover costs [3][4]. Company Responses - Major companies are adapting to the market conditions by either reducing production or focusing on long-term customer relationships rather than engaging in price wars [4][7]. - Companies like 福莱特 and 信义光能 hold over 50% of the market share, with 福莱特 reporting a revenue of 18.683 billion yuan in 2024, down 13.2% year-on-year, and a net profit decline of 63.52% [4]. - 亚玛顿 is planning to invest in a new production line in the UAE to leverage local resources and enhance its competitive edge in the photovoltaic glass sector [6][7]. Future Outlook - The anticipated production cuts are expected to stabilize prices and improve the supply-demand balance in the photovoltaic glass market [7]. - The industry is projected to gradually move towards a healthier and more sustainable development trajectory as supply conditions improve and relevant policies are implemented [7].