“苏超”火了，谁才是江苏楼市的“顶流”？

Core Viewpoint - The competition among the 13 cities in Jiangsu Province has evolved beyond sports, encompassing economic and demographic aspects, leading to a comprehensive evaluation of urban strength and real estate performance [2][23]. Economic Performance - Jiangsu Province is home to the most cities with a GDP exceeding 1 trillion yuan, with a total GDP of 13.70 trillion yuan in 2024, ranking second nationally [3]. - Suzhou leads the province with a GDP of 2.67 trillion yuan, followed by Nanjing at 1.85 trillion yuan, indicating a significant economic gap between the two cities [3][7]. - The top five cities in Jiangsu account for over 60% of the province's total economic output [3]. Real Estate Market - In the first five months of 2024, Suzhou's new housing sales volume decreased by 2%, while Nanjing's increased by 8%, indicating a divergence in market recovery [13]. - Salt City recorded the highest year-on-year growth in new housing sales at 30%, while Suzhou's total sales for the first half of the year reached 171.09 million square meters, a slight increase of 0.9% year-on-year [14][15]. - The average new housing price in Nanjing reached 27,329 yuan per square meter, the highest in the province, while cities like Huai'an and Xuzhou had prices below 10,000 yuan per square meter [17][20]. Population Dynamics - Suzhou has the largest permanent resident population in Jiangsu at 12.987 million, surpassing Nanjing's 9.577 million [9][11]. - Nanjing experienced the highest population growth in the province over the past five years, with an increase of 262,300 residents [10]. - The population in several northern Jiangsu cities, including Xuzhou, has been declining, reflecting a trend of out-migration [10][11]. Competitive Landscape - The competition among Jiangsu cities is intensifying, with Suzhou maintaining an advantage in population and GDP per capita, while Nanjing is strengthening its position as the provincial capital through population growth [23]. - Salt City and Nantong have emerged as "dark horses" in terms of new housing sales growth and price increases, respectively [23].