Founder Securities(SH:601901) 智通财经网·2025-07-02 02:43Core Viewpoint - The insurance industry is recommended for investment, with current A-share insurance companies at low historical levels and limited downside risk. The investment side is expected to improve gradually due to stabilizing stock markets and recovering interest rates, while the liability side benefits from recovering sales of savings insurance and increased demand for high-end medical insurance [1][3]. Group 1: Investment Outlook - The insurance sector is expected to see a gradual improvement in investment returns due to stabilizing stock markets and recovering interest rates [1]. - The sales of savings insurance are rebounding, and the demand for high-end medical insurance is being catalyzed by medical reforms, which will enhance the new business value margin (NBVM) and support steady growth in new business value (NBV) [1][3]. Group 2: Regulatory Changes - The maximum preset interest rate for life insurance products may be lowered by 50 basis points to 2.0% by the end of August, following regulatory guidelines that require adjustments when preset rates exceed certain thresholds [2]. - The insurance industry is expected to see a reduction in the cost of new policy funds due to the adjustment of preset interest rates, which will alleviate risks associated with interest rate spreads [3]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The insurance sector is entering a phase of improved premium growth as it approaches a seasonal period of product suspension, with ongoing adjustments in product structure expected to optimize costs further [3]. - The combination of regulatory changes and market dynamics is likely to lead to a significant improvement in the industry's fundamentals, with a continued positive trend anticipated [1][3].