Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) intervened in the market by buying Hong Kong dollars to support the currency's value against the US dollar, reflecting ongoing volatility in the exchange rate and the need to maintain the linked exchange rate system [2][5]. Group 1: HKMA Interventions - The HKMA bought 200.2 billion HKD in local currency on July 2, which is more than double the 94.2 billion HKD it withdrew the previous week, indicating a significant intervention to stabilize the currency [2]. - Following the intervention, the Hong Kong dollar appreciated slightly to 7.8495 against the US dollar [2]. - The HKMA's actions are part of a broader strategy to manage liquidity and interest rates in the banking system, with the total bank reserves expected to decrease to 1,441.75 billion HKD [2]. Group 2: Exchange Rate Dynamics - The Hong Kong dollar has experienced significant fluctuations, triggering the "weak-side convertibility guarantee" multiple times, which requires the HKMA to buy HKD and sell USD when the exchange rate falls below 7.85 [3][5]. - The one-month Hong Kong Interbank Offered Rate (HIBOR) was reported at 0.73% on June 30, the lowest since June 23, indicating a decrease in borrowing costs [3]. - The linked exchange rate system mandates that the HKMA respond to currency exchange demands, which has led to a series of interventions to maintain stability [3]. Group 3: Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - Market participants believe that the HKMA's interventions not only help stabilize the exchange rate but also increase the cost of shorting the Hong Kong dollar by tightening liquidity [4]. - UBS suggests that while the recent drop in short-term interest rates may attract investors, these rates are unlikely to remain low for an extended period [5]. - Goldman Sachs noted a strong interest from investors in Hong Kong assets, with a robust IPO market contributing to a favorable liquidity environment [6].
香港金管局买入200亿港元,一周内二度入场
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-07-02 03:55