Fundamental Analysis - Gold prices surged to approximately $3,357, maintaining a bullish trend due to the passage of Trump's "big and beautiful plan" in the Senate and the approaching deadline for tariff suspension on July 9, prompting investors to seek safe-haven assets [1] - The Republican-majority Senate approved a broad tax and spending bill that will cut several social service programs, potentially increasing the deficit by $3 trillion over the next decade, which may stimulate inflation and increase the debt burden, positively impacting the gold market [1] - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell reiterated that stable economic activity allows the Fed to wait and observe the impact of tariff increases on prices and economic growth before deciding on interest rate cuts, with a focus on inflation data and labor market signs [1] Technical Analysis - The gold price has formed a standard double bottom pattern at low levels, initiating a strong upward trend, with bullish momentum continuing; a consolidation phase is expected before reaching new highs [4] - The MACD indicator shows a death cross signal, indicating a shift into a consolidation phase, with potential for a new bullish wave after sufficient adjustment [4] Trading Strategy - For gold, a long position is suggested at $3,320 with a stop loss at $3,310 and a target range of $3,335 to $3,357 [5] - For silver, a long position is recommended at $35.80 with a stop loss at $35.50 and a target range of $36.30 to $36.70 [9] News Events - Upcoming economic indicators include the Eurozone unemployment rate for May at 17:00, U.S. Challenger job cuts for June at 19:30, and U.S. ADP employment numbers for June at 20:15 [9]
领峰环球金银评论:特朗普税改法案引发危机 黄金多头强势上攻
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-07-02 04:50