Group 1 - The trade war between the US and the EU has intensified, with French President Macron criticizing certain countries' tariff policies as tools of coercion, specifically targeting the US [1][3] - Macron's proposal for a "zero tariffs for zero tariffs" strategy has become a central countermeasure for Europe, warning that if the US maintains a 10% baseline tariff, Europe will implement equivalent retaliatory measures [3][4] - The EU's trade deficit with the US has expanded to $158 billion in 2024, with significant imbalances in aerospace and digital services [3] Group 2 - The European Commission is preparing to impose tariffs on $95 billion worth of US goods, while also implementing restrictions in digital tax and public procurement [3][4] - The actual impact of tariffs is evident in Europe, with a report indicating an 18% decrease in EU steel capacity utilization and a €2.3 billion reduction in automotive exports [4] - If the trade war escalates, GDP growth in the US and EU could decline by 0.8% and 1.2%, respectively, prompting European companies to make defensive adjustments [4] Group 3 - China's Foreign Minister Wang Yi's visit to Europe is significant, coinciding with the 50th anniversary of China-EU diplomatic relations and the first strategic communication after the EU Commission's reshuffle [6][9] - The visit aims to provide a platform for direct communication and lay the political groundwork for the upcoming China-EU leaders' meeting [6] - The EU is experiencing a strategic dilemma, trying to maintain economic sovereignty while not fully aligning with either the US or China [6][9] Group 4 - The trade war's ripple effects are impacting global supply chains, with the UN warning that the most vulnerable economies are suffering the most from US tariff policies [7] - Wang Yi's visit offers Europe a strategic opportunity, aligning China's open and cooperative approach with the EU's goal of strategic autonomy [7][9] - Despite existing tensions, both sides have reached a consensus to restart negotiations on price commitments, indicating a potential for cooperation [7][9]
最终对决将开启,马克龙向美国放狠话,王毅将访欧,这是要变天了?
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-07-02 06:34