Finboldยท2025-07-02 10:59Core Viewpoint - Centene's shares have dropped over 20% after the company withdrew its full-year financial guidance, raising concerns about rising costs in the health insurance sector [1][6]. Group 1: Financial Performance - Centene has lowered its 2025 earnings forecast by $1.8 billion, now expecting earnings of approximately $2.75 per share, significantly below Wall Street's consensus of $7.28 [3][4]. - The downgrade is attributed to unexpectedly high Medicaid costs, particularly in behavioral health services and expensive prescription drugs [3][4]. - Despite the challenges, Centene reported strong performance in its Medicare Advantage and Medicare Prescription Drug Plan businesses [4][5]. Group 2: Market Reaction - In pre-market trading, Centene's stock fell as much as 26% to $41.57, following a previous close of $56.65, where shares had gained 4.3% in the prior session [1][3]. - The market largely reacted negatively to the steep earnings cut, overshadowing the company's continued discipline in SG&A expenses that helped sustain revenue leverage [5]. Group 3: Industry Context - Centene's situation mirrors recent issues faced by UnitedHealth, which also withdrew its 2025 outlook due to a significant earnings miss related to surging Medicare Advantage claims [6][7]. - UnitedHealth's stock dropped over 20% following its earnings miss, marking its worst single-day performance in over two decades, compounded by concerns about leadership changes and transparency [7].