Tesla's delivery numbers are out — and they're just as bad as Wall Street predicted

Core Insights - Tesla delivered 384,000 EVs in Q2 2025, missing Wall Street's expectation of 389,400 vehicles, marking a year-over-year decline of 13.5% from 444,000 in Q2 2024 [1][2] - This represents the largest quarterly decline in Tesla's history, with a drop of 60,000 deliveries compared to Q2 2024 [2] - The company faced a challenging quarter following its first year-over-year delivery decline in 2024, attributed to an industry-wide EV slowdown, increased competition, and backlash against CEO Elon Musk's political actions [3] Delivery Performance - In Q1 2025, Tesla delivered nearly 336,700 EVs, a 13% decrease from the same period in 2024, marking its lowest quarter since 2022 [2] - The refreshed Model Y, Tesla's best-selling vehicle, launched in April, leading to an increase in new vehicle sales, although the anticipated more affordable model has not yet begun production [4] Market Dynamics - Tesla's EV sales in China decreased by 18% year-over-year from January to May, while rival BYD saw significant growth [10] - In June, Tesla's Shanghai factory shipments rose slightly compared to last year, ending an eight-month streak of year-over-year sales declines [11] - Tesla's market share in the EU dropped from 1.6% to 0.9% in May, with a 45.2% decline in EV registrations in the first five months of the year [12] Industry Trends - The US EV market is also facing challenges, with new EV sales down 10.7% year-over-year, despite a 4.2% increase from the previous month [13] - Despite these challenges, Tesla remains the market leader in the US as of May [13] Future Outlook - Tesla's strategy for future growth hinges on solving full vehicle autonomy, with a limited rollout of its robotaxi service in Austin planned for expansion [14]